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Culp's Corner

Bermuda Championship Preview

by Josh Culp
Updated On: October 27, 2020, 5:52 pm ET

From one birdie-fest to another, the PGA TOUR heads from Cali to the Caribbean for this week's Bermuda Championship. Okay, not quite. I always thought Bermuda was located in the Caribbean but it's 900 miles north of the Caribbean Sea and the closest landmass is actually North Carolina, 640 miles from Bermuda. 

Most of you probably already knew that but I had to go through that little geography lesson this morning so I figured I would share in case anyone else was uninformed like I was. 

Getting back to the golf tournament, a field of 132 golfers will head to Southampton this week to do battle with Port Royal Golf Course.

This event is going to be the first PGA TOUR event to welcome back fans but it will do so in a limited fashion. Autographs will be prohibited so there won't be any face-to-face, fan-to-player interaction. Also, the field will see an increase in COVID-19 testing this week due to the local government policy. Golfers will have pre-testing as well as testing on days 4 and 8 while being on the island, as pointed out by Rex Hoggard of Golf Channel

Despite this event getting a bump up to full status (500 FedExCup Points to the winner, a 2021 Masters invite, etc.) most of the stars are leaving this off their schedule. We are just a few weeks out from playing the Masters so many golfers are avoiding the extra travel hassle. Will that open the door for a first-time winner or will we see another veteran lift the trophy this week? 

The Course

This week's host venue is Port Royal Golf Course. 

It's a Robert Trent Jones design that was pieced together and opened in 1970 and then underwent a $14.5 million renovation in 2008. That was in anticipation of hosting the 2009 Grand Slam of Golf which was played annually until 2014. 

Very short by PGA TOUR standards, this coastal course is a par 71 that will play just over 6,800 yards (6,828). It has the traditional par-71 setup of three par 5s and four par 3s. 

As you'd expect from a sub-6,900 yard layout, the driver is not a key weapon this week. There are cross bunkers and other hazards that often take the driver out of hand and turn it into a second-shot course. 

As a comparison, Boo Weekley said it's like Harbour Town without all the trees. Brian Gay did not share the same thoughts on the course comp because Port Royal is so hilly. He claimed it was closer to Kapalua where they play the Sentry Tournament of Champions. Nice humblebrag there. 

Last year was the first year hosting this event so how did it play? The field averaged 54.28 percent in terms of fairways hit. A bit lower than I expected when you consider golfers are clubbing down on many of the holes. From there, golfers were able to land 66.67% of greens in regulation. That is a high clip which tells us that playing from the rough is not a problem here. They will be attacking with short irons and wedges on a lot of the holes. 

For turf, golfers will see wall-to-wall bermudagrass with some zoysia mixed in the rough, as well. There is no target stimp rating listed but golfers last year talked about the greens rolling slower than TOUR average. That makes perfect sense when you consider this is a coastal course and if heavy wind rolls through then you don't want to be stuck with unplayable conditions. 

Speaking of wind, that will definitely be a big factor to watch this week. The course got hit by Hurricane Paulette just six weeks ago. It's going to be rare to find a calm day when you are playing right next to the Atlantic Ocean. Golfers with comfort adapting to changing winds should really like the conditions this week. Texans and members of the Sea Island Mafia are two groups that come to mind in that regard. 

Other than the wind, the course doesn't have much else to defend against the top golfers in the world. There were 55 sub-70 rounds during opening-round action last year and 10 sub-65 rounds by week's end. We should expect a similar scoring environment as we saw last week at the ZOZO. 

Course Quotes

Sifting through some past quotes, let's try to break down the course to see how it will play.

Aaron Wise: "It’s definitely not a bomber’s golf course, and the crazy part is how much it changes because the wind’s blowing 30 miles an hour. All of a sudden, if the wind switches to the dead opposite way, a ball goes 50 yards shorter or longer than it did the day before... I hit a lot of shorter clubs off the tee and there’s a hole on the back side where I’m playing it 7-iron, 7-iron today. "

Boo Weekley: "you ain’t overpowering the golf course. You can bunt it around here and kind of get away with the roughs. Bermuda rough, I kind of grew up on it, and the greens are Bermuda."

Scottie Scheffler: "I think we play in a lot more wind than guys expect and this is definitely one of those places. I guess definitely the experience from Texas will definitely help here... It’s very hilly. The green speeds are a little slower than what we’re used to, but that’s kind of what you have to do on a piece of property like this because if the wind picks up and the greens are too quick, then all of a sudden we can’t play golf. "

Russell Knox: "There’s a lot of shorter holes where if you drive it well, you can have wedges and even some chip shots in. But it’s windy and the par 3s are very difficult if played all the way back. The par 5s, three par 5s are reachable."


Correlated Courses

Looking at grass types, geography, course attributes, and past performance, here are a few courses/events that I think could prove to be a good pointer this week: 

Harbour Town (Heritage)
El Camaleon (Mayakoba)
Waialae CC (Sony Open)
Sea Island (RSM Classic)
Sedgefield CC (Wyndham)
Corales GC (Corales)
Coco Beach (Puerto Rico)

We have just one year of data to lean on but all of these venues popped as potential pointers. You could aggregate results from all of them or pick and choose the ones that make the most sense to you. Overall, it's a list of coastal courses and/or less-than-driver venues. 


The Weather

Thursday: Partly Sunny with a high of 79 degrees. A chance of showers all day. Winds at 6 to 10 MPH with afternoon gusts up to 25 MPH. 

Friday: Parly Sunny with a high of 81 degrees. A chance of showers all day. Winds at 20 to 25 MPH with gusts up to 30 MPH. 

It's a little early to lock in a forecast but early signs suggest that wind could be a big deal for at least a couple rounds this week. The threat of showers remains a constant variable but not one that seems likely to disrupt play. 

Josh Culp

Josh Culp joined NBC Sports Edge in 2014. The DFS enthusiast from Iowa State can be found on Twitter @futureoffantasy.