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Daily Games

MLB DFS Plays: Monday 7/19

by Spencer Limbach
Updated On: July 19, 2021, 1:55 pm ET

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This article outlines the best daily fantasy MLB plays of the day at every position. We take a comprehensive look to uncover these core recommendations, factoring respective salaries into the analysis.

Please note, these player picks were organized early in the day. For MLB contests, always check lineups and weather closer to game time. Rain, wind, or unexpected managerial decisions could open up additional sources of value. Be sure to keep an eye on the MLB Headlines and Injuries desk.

We’ll focus our attention on the 11-game main slate starting at 7:05 ET.

PITCHER

Top Play: Kyle Gibson - Texas (at Detroit) 

In my opinion, Gibson has been one of the biggest surprises of the MLB season. He’s coming off his first All-Star game while holding a 2.29 ERA with pinpoint control (career-best 2.74 BB/9). That’s quite the breakout for a guy who will be turning 34 later this year … I’m expecting Gibson to keep rolling in a nice matchup at Detroit this evening. The Tigers have the highest strikeout rate in the league (27%) while ranking 22nd in wRC+. I understand that “Gibby” allowed five runs in his last game against Detroit, but there’s a good chance he’ll get redemption tonight. 

GPP Pivot: Zack Greinke - Houston (vs. Cleveland) 

Greinke is somewhat of a DFS afterthought at this stage in his career. His salary has relaxed due to a rollercoaster of fantasy output over the past few months. I believe we could see Greinke at the peak tonight vs. Cleveland, as he shut down the Indians for a nice 7.2 IP, 5 H, 8 K, 3 ER line earlier this month. Another quality start is very much in play, which would make Greinke a comfortable value on this slate. 

Also Consider: Tony Gonsolin

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CATCHER

Top Play: Mike Zunino - Tampa Bay (vs. Baltimore) 

Zunino slapped a homer in the All-Star game last week, and he has a great matchup to add to his regular-season total this evening. The Rays check in with the highest run-scoring projection of the night. They are facing Baltimore RHP Spenser Watkins, who has actually been effective through 10.1 IP this season. However, regression is on the way. Keep in mind that Watkins had a 7.88 ERA through 76.2 Triple-A innings in his last full season (2019). He’s a 28-year-old rookie without much to speak of in the scouting columns. Zunino and the Rays should jump all over him tonight.  

Also Consider: Jacob Stallings, Max Stassi, Tucker Barnhart (GPP) 

FIRST BASE

Top Play: Jesus Aguilar - Miami (at Washington) 

Washington LHP Jon Lester is over the hill. That has been very evident over his last four games: 13.1 IP, 27 H, 7 K, 17 ER. As you can see, Lester is giving up a ton of contact, and the Marlins have several capable hitters to take advantage. Aguilar is one of those guys, and he’s seeing the ball well with six hits, three homers, and 10 RBI over his last three starts. 

GPP Pivot: Nate Lowe - Texas (at Detroit) 

Lowe hasn’t had a breakout fantasy performance over the last few weeks, but I like him as a buy-low candidate tonight. The matchup looks good against Detroit RHP Casey Mize, who holds a .385 career wOBA to left-handed bats. Obviously, Joey Gallo is a DFS candidate against that too. 

Also Consider: Ji-Man Choi, Christian Walker   

SECOND BASE

Top Play: Brandon Lowe - Tampa Bay (vs. Baltimore) 

Let’s keep things rolling with another member of this Tampa stack. As mentioned earlier, Baltimore RHP Watkins could have a short appearance tonight. It’s not like the Orioles’ bullpen is stopping anyone either. Lowe makes for a nice mid-range pick within that, as he has found a nice power surge with five homers over his last seven starts. 

GPP Pivot: Josh Rojas - Arizona (vs. Pittsburgh) 

Rojas is heating up with seven hits, four doubles, five walks, and a stolen base over his last four games. He’s an interesting value pick while holding a premium lineup spot for the D-Backs. His matchup isn’t too shabby either, facing Pittsburgh RHP Chase De Jong - who has allowed 15 earned runs and 24 hits across 19.2 innings over his last four starts. 

Also Consider: Jose Altuve, David Fletcher  

THIRD BASE

Top Play: J.D. Davis - NY Mets (at Cincinnati) 

Davis recently came off the 60-day injured list. He seems to have adjusted quickly after collecting three hits with two homers on Saturday. Davis is still moderately-priced across all DFS sites, and I like his matchup against Cincinnati RHP Vladimir Gutierrez. The Reds’ righty has a low strikeout rate (6.44 K/9) with control issues (4.11 BB/9) that could come back to bite him. This is also a nice park boost for players like Davis, Conforto, etc. 

Also Consider: Wander Franco, Cavan Biggio, Ke’Bryan Hayes (GPP)

SHORTSTOP

Top Play: Carlos Correa - Houston (vs. Cleveland) 

It’s crazy that we’ve made it this far into the article without talking about Houston’s offense. They arguably have the best matchup of the night against Cleveland RHP J.C. Mejia - who has allowed 6+ earned runs in three of his last four starts. Correa has been in somewhat of a cold streak, but this is an excellent time to buy low on the Astros’ shortstop. This could be a breakout game. 

Also Consider: Bo Bichette, Jose Iglesias, Miguel Rojas (GPP) 

OUTFIELD

Top Play: George Springer - Toronto (vs. Boston) 

Toronto unsurprisingly has one of the highest run-scoring projections of the night. Springer rates well within that, so go ahead and give him a serious look if you have the cap space to make it happen. Boston RHP Nick Pivetta has gotten crushed by the Jays this season (2 starts: 10 IP, 13 H, 10 ER), and this could be a high-scoring matchup for both teams. Springer is one of the leading candidates to get in on that action. 

Top Play: Michael Conforto - NY Mets (at Cincinnati) 

Conforto follows in the footsteps of aforementioned teammate J.D. Davis. The matchup is a good one, and Conforto will look to take advantage of a ballpark that accentuates left-handed power. Conforto has been flexing that with two homers and two doubles over his last four. 

GPP Pivot: Tyler Naquin - Cincinnati (vs. NY Mets)

Naquin is a cheap tournament pivot who will look to get in on the action in Cincinnati. Mets’ RHP Jared Eickhoff holds a career .377 wOBA split to left-handed bats, so go ahead and stack the Reds against him. Naquin is a bargain option with upside that won’t break the bank. 

GPP Pivot: Starling Marte - Miami (at Washington) 

I already talked about Washingon LHP Lester’s struggles, but it’s worth reinforcing. A Miami stack makes plenty of sense in tournaments, as Aguilar, Marte, Rojas, and Duvall are primed to make some noise in this agreeable matchup. 

Also Consider: Austin Meadows, Teoscar Hernandez, Randal Grichuk, Michael Brantley, Hunter Renfroe, Adam Duval

Spencer Limbach

Spencer Limbach is a multi-sport daily fantasy specialist for NBC Sports Edge. He can be found on twitter @Spencer_JL.