Daily Games

Week 3 NFL DFS Bargains

by Renee Miller
Updated On: September 22, 2021, 5:04 pm ET

In this weekly article, we’ll look at the cheaper options that should return good value to your NFL DFS lineups. The bargain threshold varies by site, and position, but generally we’ll aim for our bargain plays to take up about 8-10 percent of your salary cap, except for quarterbacks, which we’ll allow 11-12 percent. A great tool to find bargains is our DFS projection system, which gives a dollar per fantasy point projection for each player. I refer to it often!

 

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Quarterback

Jared Goff, Detroit Lions vs. Baltimore

Most bargain articles will start with my No. 2, Justin Fields, but Goff deserves this spot and more respect than he’s getting from the fantasy salary setters except on FanDuel ($5200 DK, $7100 FD, $25 Yahoo). He’s tied with Derek Carr with the most passing attempts in the league (93), passed for 584 yards, five touchdowns and two interceptions. He’s added 60 rushing yards for an early average of about 25 fantasy points per game. Some people will see that the Lions are hosting Baltimore and back off, but as of this week, Baltimore is giving up the most fantasy points to opponents overall (fifth to QBs) as well as the third-most real points. Granted, they played Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs, but also the Raiders, one of last season’s more lack-luster offenses. High volume, good game script and a suspect Ravens D make Goff a sneaky good play.

 

Justin Fields, Chicago Bears vs. Cleveland

I won’t go on and on about Fields, since it’s all you can find on Twitter, but yes, he’s starting. He’s going to have a nice floor due to his rushing ability, but should get the chance to work with the starters on his passing precision this week. Cleveland is a defense that it’s easier to pass on than run on, ranking third in fantasy points allowed to opposing QBs so far this season (continuing a trend from last year). It’s ok to throw him in tournament lineup because you want to root for him, but he could end up as one of the best fantasy point per dollar quarterbacks this weekend.

 

Also consider: Daniel Jones

 

Running Back

Clyde Edwards- Helaire, Kansas City vs. LA Chargers

CEH has more carries than Nick Chubb or Najee Harris and the same as Ezekiel Elliott (24). His YPC is currently bad, at 3.3 YPC, but it’s still better than Harris’ and only slightly worse than Elliott’s (3.9 YPC). He has three catches on three targets for 19 yards receiving, and has not scored. His salary is far lower than anyone else’s I’ve mentioned ($16 Yahoo, $4800 DK, $6500 FD) despite his only flaw being that he hasn’t scored. Running backs, including Elliott and Tony Pollard, have had some success against the Chargers this season, and one thing Edwards-Helaire has going for him is no time share. Our DFS Optimizer has him as one of the better RB dollar-per-fantasy-point options on DraftKings and Yahoo. 

 

Mike Davis, Atlanta Falcons at NY Giants

Davis is another volume-based play. It’s very exciting that Cordarrelle Patterson has dual eligibility on FanDuel and he had an electric Week 2, I admit. However, Davis is still getting the bulk of the work at running back, including a fair amount of targets. His 13 targets tie with James White for third-most in the league. The Falcons visit the Giants this week in what should be a close and fairly high scoring game based on what we’ve seen from each defense so far.

 

Also consider: Mark Ingram, J.D. McKissic, Demetric Felton (tournament only)

 

Wide Receiver

K.J. Osborn, Minnesota Vikings vs. Seattle

Osborn is a great example of how much touchdowns affect the salary algorithm on DFS sites. He has 12 catches on 15 targets through two games for 167 yards. Those numbers rival guys like Calvin Ridley, Amari Cooper, Chris Godwin and others. Yet he’s $3500 (DK), $13 (Yahoo) and $5100 (FD). Adam Thielen and Justin Jefferson, not to mention Dalvin Cook, might be touchdown hogs, but so far there is plenty of volume to go around and this weekend’s matchup with Seattle should be high scoring and close. One of my favorite games to target.

 

Quintez Cephus, Detroit Lions vs. Baltimore

So, it’s looking like the Lions will be another week without Tyrell Williams as he is still in the concussion protocol. Cephus was huge Monday night, catching a long pass from Goff early on, scoring, and ultimately securing four of his seven targets for 63 yards. He’s now scored in both of the Lions’ games and put up double-digit fantasy points in both games. His salary didn’t get a chance to come up yet, which makes him an attractive bargain option. Given what we’ve seen from the Ravens (losing to Carr and the Raiders) and the Lions (putting up good numbers vs. San Francisco and Green Bay), the Goff-Cephus mini-stack could be a winner this weekend.

 

Also consider: Henry Ruggs III, D.J. Chark, Rashard Higgins

 

Editor's Note: Looking for an added edge? Dominate all season long with our DFS Toolkit. Use our Lineup Optimizer to come up with winning lineups for DraftKings, FanDuel, and Yahoo! Click here for more!

 

Tight End

Maxx Williams, Arizona Cardinals at Jacksonville

Williams has drawn hype since he came into the league. A seven-catch for 94 yards game isn’t any kind of threshold milestone that ought to make us suddenly trust that he’s going to live up to that potential…but Arizona is one of the hottest offenses in the league, is heavily favored over the Jaguars in Florida, and Williams 100 percent catch rate in Week 2 should inspire enough confidence in Kyler Murray to keep him involved. Jacksonville is obviously a great matchup for all the Cardinals’ skill players, but Williams ($12 Yahoo, $4700 FD, $3200 DK) could be an excellent TE flier.

 

Also consider: Dawson Knox

 

Defense

Buffalo Bills vs. Washington

The Bills are $11 on Yahoo, first of all. They are coming off a shut-out in which they produced six sacks and came away with three turnovers. Washington is a middle-of-the-road opponent, not especially prone to turnovers or sacks, but Vegas Sportsbooks have the Bills as 8-8.5-point favorites this weekend. This has been an opportunistic unit for a couple years now, they are playing at home and should be a terrific value on all three sites.

 

Also consider: Arizona Cardinals