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Miami Hurricanes O/U 8.5 Wins
I am going to be a big Miami fan this season and I can't help it.
The Hurricanes return 14 starters on both sides of the ball, seven each side, and get their key player back in quarterback and Heisman hopeful Tyler Van Dyke.
Miami was arguably the best 7-5 team in the country last season. Three of the five losses came by three or fewer points and Van Dyke was the quarterback in all three. The two blowout losses to non-conference opponents Alabama and Michigan State were quarterbacked by D'Eriq King. Here are the five losses from last season for Miami.
Virginia 30 - Miami 28
UNC 45 - Miami 42
Florida State 31 - Miami 28
Alabama 44 - Miami 13
Michigan State 38 - Miami 17
If you are going to have five losses, those are pretty damn good teams to lose to. This season, Miami's non-conference schedule is Bethune-Cookman, Southern Miss, Texas A&M and Middle Tennessee State. I love that schedule for them and if they win the A&M contest as +7.5 point dogs, well this is an easy bet.
In the ACC, Miami will host North Carolina, Duke, Florida State and Pitt. The Pitt and UNC home games for Miami is significant because there is no Kenny Pickett or Sam Howell at quarterback for the Panthers and Tar Heels, both were selected in the 2022 NFL Draft.
On the road, the Hurricanes will play at Virginia Tech, Virginia, Georgia Tech and Clemson for conference action. The Clemson outing is the key as the Hurricanes (+550) only trails the Tigers (+140) in terms of odds to win the ACC. Miami is the favorite to win the ACC's Coastal Division at +130 odds.
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All in all, Miami has a real chance to win the ACC, as does Clemson and Pitt. Miami's season will come down to the final two games of the year versus Clemson and Pitt, but there is a chance the Hurricanes are 7-2 or better by that period.
UNC, Texas A&M and Virginia Tech will be the key games prior to November and if Miami goes 2-1 or better, we are in the clear. If Miami wins the ACC, there is an opportunity to represent the conference in the College Football Playoffs after no ACC team made it last year (Alabama, Georgia, Michigan, Cincinnati).
The College Football Playoff was created for the 2014-15 season and last year and the first year of the playoff were the only seasons the ACC did not have a representative, aka Clemson.
With the Tigers seemingly on the decline, a team like the Hurricanes and new head coach Mario Cristobal returning to his alma mater should spark Miami back to its glory days. This team is vastly underrated and hopefully the market reflects that.
I played Miami Over 8.5 Wins at -125 odds risking 1.5 units and sprinkled a 0.3 units on Miami to win the ACC at +550 odds and 0.2 units to make the College Football Playoff at +1500 for 2 units altogether.
HURRICANE SEASON AIN'T OVER YET!
Pick: Miami Hurricanes Over 8.5 Wins (1.5u), Miami to win the ACC (0.3u), Miami to make the CFB Playoff (0.2u)
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