Dalzell's Dish

Betting the Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers matchup

by Vaughn Dalzell
Updated On: March 29, 2023, 12:21 pm ET

Vaughn Dalzell breaks down how to bet the Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers matchup as the NBA season dwindles down.

Bucks (-11.5) at Pacers: O/U 237.0

This season, the Bucks vs Pacers three meetings combined for 251, 262 and 272 points!

In the first half of those contests, Milwaukee scored 64 and 65 points, plus a season-high 85 first-half points at Indiana. That's where we begin here as Indiana is without Myles Turner, Tyrese Haliburton and Chris Duarte tonight.

Indiana is 33-43 with no chance of making the NBA's play-in tournament, so there is no motivation here besides to put on a show for the home fans. I don't expect much defense to be played on the Pacers' behalf.

In March, Indiana allows the most points per game at 124.5 (13 games) and surrenders 62.2 points per game in the first half of those contests (28th). The Pacers allow over 60 first half points per game in the last 10 contests and 63.7 in the past three games.

Milwaukee averages the most points per game this month (125.0) and the second-most points per game in the first half (62.1). Indiana ranks third in first half points per game during March (61.4) but will be without Haliburton and Turner.

The Bucks average 63.8 first half points per game in the last three contests (3rd) and 65.0 points per game in the last five first halves of road games (2nd). Everything sets up for Milwaukee to run up the score in the first half and full game. 

I played Milwaukee's 1H Team Total Over 61.5 (-115) out to 62.5. If Giannis Antetokounmpo or another player sits unexpectedly, this number is still attainable for the Bucks.

Pick: Bucks 1H Team Total Over 61.5 (1u)

 

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