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Jarrett Allen O/U 15.5 Points vs. Nets
Everybody loves backing a guy who has a little extra motivation or a chip on his shoulder, well, we have that here in Jarrett Allen.
NBC's player prop model projects Allen to score 16.8 points, hitting the Over. On the season, Allen scored 16 or more points in 22 out of 37 games (59.4%), including an impressive 20-8 (71.4%) mark to the Over when he plays 30 or more minutes this season (chart below).
Allen met the Nets earlier this season and posted 20 points and 15 rebounds on 7-of-15 from the field (46.7%) and 37 minutes overall.
Allen only had two games with more field goal attempts all season, so you know he is trying to score against his former squad.
Without Durant, LAM and Claxton for Brooklyn, Allen has a chance to feast in multiple ways.
His double-double is set at -145 odds and I like the chances he does that as well as scoring 15-plus points.
Allen ranks eighth in the NBA with 18.3 rebound chances per game and over the last five games, that number is up to 18.8 and 18.7 in the previous 10 outings.
Allen is 20-8 (71.4%) to the Over 10.5 rebounds this season when he plays 30-plus minutes, just like his points prop.
Allen's rebound prop is set at 10.5 and his points and rebound prop is 26.5 -- both numbers our model project Allen going over with 12.0 rebounds and 28.8 Points + Rebounds.
Back Allen Over 15.5 points out to -130 odds and/or play the combo of Over 26.5 Points + Rebounds for 1 unit.
Pick: Jarrett Allen Over 15.5 Points (1u), Over 26.5 Points + Rebounds (1u)
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