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Executive Decision

Wild Card Weekend In-Pocket Bets

by Corey Parson
Updated On: January 10, 2022, 4:27 pm ET

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The regular season has come to an end now it's time to turn our NFL betting to the postseason. Just like I did every week during the regular season, I have identified some early value in the Super Wild Card Weekend Lines. As always, odds via PointsBet.

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Cincinnati Bengals (-6.5) Total: 49.5 

The first game of the NFL postseason features the red-hot Bengals vs. the "lucky to still be playing" Raiders. When these two teams met earlier this season, the Bengals scored 19 fourth-quarter points to put the Raiders away, ultimately winning that game by 19 points, while the Raiders only scored a single touchdown in that game. Bengals running back Joe Mixon torched the Raiders for 123 yards and 2 touchdowns. No reason why he won't have another big game. 

PointsBet opened this game up with a Total of 48.5. That number has since gone up to 49.5. This season the Over cashed in four of the five games in which the Bengals were a favorite at home as they are this weekend. Even though the Total has already moved up I still think there is value on the Over. Edge: Over 49.5 

 

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Kansas City Chiefs (-13) Total: 46.5 

This may seem like the Chiefs are laying a big number but the Steelers are not in the same class as the Chiefs. When these two teams met in Week 16 in Kansas City, the Chiefs won 36–10.Since 2018, the Chiefs are 4-2 ATS in home playoff games. The Chiefs should roll the Steelers. Edge: Chiefs -13 

 

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Arizona Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Rams (-4.5) Total: 50.5 

The Arizona Cardinals and Los Angeles Rams meet this weekend in what is really a de-facto NFC West Championship game. The teams split two regular season meetings. The Cardinals won by 17 in Los Angeles while the Rams won by 7 points in Arizona. The Over cashed in both games but I’m not sure that will be the case in the Wild Card round. This season the Cardinals were 5-4 to the Under on the road. Four of the Rams' last five home games cashed to the Under. All of those stats are nice but the bottom line is this: these teams are division rivals who are very familiar with each other, and I think points will be hard to come by in this game. Edge: Under 50.5 

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Corey Parson

Corey Parson is an award-winning, multi-sport fantasy and sports betting expert who has worked for SiriusXM, The Athletic, Sports Illustrated and more. He is from Harlem, NY, yet is somehow a Dallas Cowboys fan. You can follow him on Twitter @thefantasyexec.