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Emiliano Grillo
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FanDuel Strategy

FanDuel Fit: Corales Championship

by Josh Culp
Updated On: September 22, 2020, 2:13 pm ET

Completely flipping the script from last week, golfers will be treated with a generous resort layout this week at the Corales Golf Club. 

With a field of 144 golfers it won't be an easy task to get 6-of-6 golfers through the cutline this week. Only the top 65 and ties will play the weekend, as usual in PGA TOUR events. 

Doing battle with a coastal layout with slow greens and easy scoring environment, it's pretty unique in terms of course fit, compared to the week-to-week parklands test. Let's jump into the numbers to see what golfers or type of golfers should play well this week. 

Coastal Courses

Corales is played right on the coast so comfort on similar-style tracks could be the key to unlocking some under-the-radar plays. Let's see who has played the best on coastal courses over the last two years: 

Matthew NeSmith
Charles Howell III
Henrik Stenson
Vaughn Taylor
Henrik Norlander
Kurt Kitayama
Tim Wilkinson
Chris Stroud
Emiliano Grillo
Jhonattan Vegas
Will Gordon
Thomas Detry
Kevin Tway
Ben Martin
Aaron Baddeley

We can also look at a golfer's performance versus their baseline to see who over-performs most. Here is that list: 

Chris Stroud
Martin Trainer
Kurt Kitayama
Patton Kizzire
Dominic Bozzelli
Graeme McDowell
Charles Howell III
Vaughn Taylor
D.J. Trahan
Nate Lashley
Emiliano Grillo
Brice Garnett
Jhonattan Vegas
Robert Streb
Brian Stuard

Overlap List: names that show up on both lists include Chris Stroud, Kurt Kitayama, Charles Howell III, Vaughn Taylor, Emiliano Grillo, and Jhonattan Vegas

 

Easy Courses

There isn't much bark or bite at Corales Golf Club. The field averages just 1.04 doubles or worse per 72 holes. That puts it right up there with Waialae CC, Kapalua, CC of Jackson, Coco Beach and Silverado as least punishing. Most of these are resort-style courses with slow greens. Let's see who has played best on easy courses, over the last two years: 

Corey Conners
Charles Howell III
Will Zalatoris
Emiliano Grillo
Pat Perez
Denny McCarthy
Will Gordon
Vaughn Taylor
Xinjun Zhang
Henrik Stenson
Kyle Stanley
Brice Garnett
Adam Schenk
Sam Burns
Thomas Detry

We can also look at a golfer's performance versus their baseline to see who over-performs most. Here is that list: 

Arjun Atwal
Corey Conners
Sam Burns
Chris Stroud
Patton Kizzire
Emiliano Grillo
Zack Sucher
Kristoffer Ventura
Pat Perez
Sepp Straka
Wes Roach
Ben Martin
Chris Kirk
Josh Teater
Hank Lebioda

Overlap List: names that show up on both lists include Corey Conners, Emiliano Grillo, Pat Perez, and Sam Burns

 

 

FanDuel Focus 

Kurt Kitayama ($8,100): He'll be flying under the radar this week but course-fit stats suggest this is the type of course that could suit him well. Both of his Euro Tour wins came on coastal courses. He does have some course experience here but unfortunately it was a missed cut back in 2017 when it was a Korn Ferry event. Treat him as a high-risk but high-upside GPP option. 

Emiliano Grillo ($11,100): With lots of viable value on the board, it gives us plenty of cash to spend at the top. The Argentine is a good option as he outperforms his baseline on easy, coastal courses. He was really slumping early in 2020 but has flashed a bit of form down the summer stretch with a third-place finish at the 3M Open and cuts made in three straight since then. Grillo gained 6.2 strokes on approach in his most recent start (Safeway Open). Grab him while he's hot. 

Josh Culp

Josh Culp joined NBC Sports Edge in 2014. The DFS enthusiast from Iowa State can be found on Twitter @futureoffantasy.