Loading scores...
Louis Oosthuizen
Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports
FanDuel Strategy

FanDuel Fit: The RSM Classic

by Josh Culp
Updated On: November 16, 2021, 2:31 pm ET

Gamers will get their last helping of official PGA TOUR golf this week at The RSM Classic, at least until the new year. 

The venue for this week's event is Sea Island Golf Club where two courses will be utilized, the Seaside Course (three times) and the Plantation Course (once). 

These courses have been hosting together since 2015 so we do have six years of course history to lean on. 

Of course, there are always new challengers entering the arena, so it's wise to also take a look at course-fit stats in order to find out what golfers might become a "course horse" in the next few years. 

What kind of characteristics do both of these Sea Island courses share? They have bermudagrass greens, they are short, yield an easy scoring environment, let you club down off the tee, and they are right on the coast. 

Today, let's look at performance on bermudagrass as well as coastal-course performance. 

 

Comfort on Bermuda

I talk about this angle all the time when playing in bermuda territory (the Southeast). Golfers that grew up or currently reside in the area generally feel at ease when returning to courses with bermudagrass turf. 

It's not just me making up a narrative, I only talk about it because the golfers mention it so often in their pressers and the stats often back them up. Some golfers consistently outperform their baseline on one grass type, or some golfers only reach their 90th-percentile outcomes on one grass type. 

Here are the top performers per round, when playing courses with bermuda greens over the last two years: 

Webb Simpson
Scottie Scheffler
Cameron Smith
Harris English
Jason Day
Corey Conners
Chris Kirk
Keegan Bradley
Russell Henley
Louis Oosthuizen
Brendon Todd
Joaquin Niemann
Denny McCarthy
Adam Scott
Stephan Jaeger

We can also look at a golfer's performance versus their baseline to see who over-performs most. Here is that list: 

Austin Smotherman
Denny McCarthy
Trey Mullinax
Chris Kirk
Stephan Jaeger
Camilo Villegas
Kramer Hickok
Webb Simpson
Roger Sloan
Brian Gay
Keegan Bradley
Jason Day
Danny Lee
Bill Haas
Michael Thompson

Overlap List: the names that show up on both lists include Webb Simpson, Jason Day, Chris Kirk, Keegan Bradley, Denny McCarthy, and Stephan Jaeger.

McCarthy and Bradley are both on the record for loving bermuda despite growing up on bentgrass. 

Editor’s Note: Play for FREE! Download the NBC Sports Predictor app, make picks and win huge, weekly jackpots. Get started here!

 

Coastal Vibes

We just saw Simpson on the list above which is no surprise for longtime gamers because he's built a reputation on crushing it on bermuda, over the years. He also likes playing by the coast, "I just love anytime I get close to the coast here, or Hilton Head, I just love it." 

Playing by the coast generally means the course is more exposed to wind and the greens often run slower than TOUR average. Let's see what other golfers like playing on coastal courses. 

Here are the top performers per round, when playing on coastal courses over the last two years: 

Scottie Scheffler
Louis Oosthuizen
Webb Simpson
Harris English
Branden Grace
Brendon Todd
Russell Henley
David Lipsky
Cameron Smith
Brendan Steele
Kurt Kitayama
Mackenzie Hughes
Adam Svensson
Corey Conners
Joaquin Niemann

We can also look at a golfer's performance versus their baseline to see who over-performs most. Here is that list: 

Brian Gay
Nate Lashley
Emiliano Grillo
Matthew NeSmith
Justin Rose
Scottie Scheffler
Graeme McDowell
Michael Thompson
John Huh
Lucas Glover
Jason Day
Russell Knox
Louis Oosthuizen
Hudson Swafford
Vaughn Taylor

Overlap List: the names that show up on both lists include Scottie Scheffler and Louis Oosthuizen

Scheffler and Oosthuizen are two of the best wind players on TOUR so it makes sense they would benefit from coastal conditions which often bring in unpredictable winds. 

 

FanDuel Focus 

Louis Oosthuizen ($11,700): It's a lofty price to pay but Oosthuizen brings a lot of upside to the table. The South African has posted four podium finishes this calendar year which is his best worldwide output since 2012 (6). Oosthuizen posted a solo 4th during his 2011 tournament debut so I'm not too concerned about last year's missed cut at the RSM which was his first return trip since that debut. 

Keegan Bradley ($10,500): He posted a T15 here last year in his tournament debut. He must have liked what he saw at Sea Island Golf Club as he decided to come back this year. As I alluded to before, Bradley is on the record for liking bermuda over bent. He had this to say last year at the Country Club of Jackson, "growing up in the northeast I loved playing on Bermudagrass. I like it more than bent, which I grew up on." Bradley also has six top 20s in his last 14 events played, which is a solid rate for a golfer priced near the middle of the board this week.

 

Good luck with your lineups this week and check back tomorrow for some more course-fit analysis. 

Josh Culp

Josh Culp joined NBC Sports Edge in 2014. The DFS enthusiast from Iowa State can be found on Twitter @futureoffantasy.