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Billy Horschel
Adam Hagy-USA TODAY Sports
FanDuel Strategy

FanDuel Fit: World Wide Techonology Championship at Mayakoba

by Josh Culp
Updated On: November 3, 2021, 1:05 pm ET

The PGA TOUR returns to a familiar venue this week as they prep for the World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba. 

The course is El Camaleon Golf Course and it's been used here since the inaugural 2007 edition. 

For DFS purposes, that means we can hone in on course history to pluck out some value options. However, we can also look at some course characteristics to see what golfers might not have the course reps but should like the layout based on their performance on similar courses. 

For El Camaleon, we know that it's a short, coastal course with slow, paspalum greens. The course lets you club down on a lot of the par 4s and the scoring environment is on the easy side of the spectrum. 

That gives us a lot of possible angles to dive into but today we will look at coastal course performance and then performance on less-than-driver courses. 

 

Coastal Courses

The TOUR heads to another coastal course this week. 

That means slower green speeds and the threat of wind to pick up at any time throughout the week. Even with a light wind forecast like we see early in the week, there should still be some moments throughout each round when the wind becomes a factor. 

Here are the top performers per round, when playing on coastal courses over the last two years: 

Brooks Koepka
Scottie Scheffler
Justin Thomas
Tony Finau
Viktor Hovland
Tyrrell Hatton
Patrick Reed
Justin Rose
Ian Poulter
Ryan Palmer
Sergio Garcia
Abraham Ancer
Garrick Higgo
Joaquin Niemann
Matthew Fitzpatrick

We can also look at a golfer's performance versus their baseline to see who over-performs most. Here is that list: 

Brian Gay
Brooks Koepka
Garrick Higgo
Justin Rose
Charl Schwartzel
Emiliano Grillo
Nate Lashley
Ryan Palmer
Graeme McDowell
Scottie Scheffler
Ian Poulter
Maverick McNealy
Lucas Herbert
Peter Malnati
Russell Knox

Overlap List: the names that show up on both lists include Brooks Koepka, Scottie Scheffler, Justin Rose, Ian Poulter, Ryan Palmer, and Garrick Higgo

There is a strong connection between the overlap list and performance in windy conditions. Being able to gauge the coastal winds and control your ball flight is a big plus this week. 

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Less-than-Driver Courses

Sitting under 7,000 yards on the scorecard, it's easy to see how these pros are able to club down on a lot of the par 4s at El Camaleon GC. 

"I hit a lot of 2-irons here, I think half the holes I’ll probably hit 2-iron on the majority of the holes." -Cameron Champ

"There’s a lot of emphasis and importance on keeping the ball in play off the tee, so that means I’m not able to use my driver as much as I would like to, which is one of my main tools. But it’s not like my 3-wood goes short, so that’s what I’m going to do mostly this week like I did last year, hit more shots just to put it in the fairways instead of going for distance." -Jon Rahm

Here are the top performers per round, when playing on less-than-driver courses over the last two years: 

Matthew Fitzpatrick
Abraham Ancer
Justin Thomas
Billy Horschel
Tyrrell Hatton
Thomas Detry
Viktor Hovland
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
Russell Henley
Cameron Tringale
Gary Woodland
Patrick Reed
Tony Finau
Aaron Rai

We can also look at a golfer's performance versus their baseline to see who over-performs most. Here is that list: 

Billy Horschel
Richy Werenski
Gary Woodland
Camilo Villegas
John Huh
Thomas Detry
Tyler Duncan
Aaron Rai
Brendan Steele
Russell Henley
Cameron Tringale
Denny McCarthy
Charley Hoffman
Matthew Fitzpatrick
Kramer Hickok

Overlap List: the names that show up on both lists include Matthew Fitzpatrick, Billy Horschel, Thomas Detry, Russell Henley, Cameron Tringale, Gary Woodland, and Aaron Rai

These are all names you would expect to thrive when they don't have to rely too heavily on their driver. The exception might be Woodland but he's been thriving on less-than-driver courses for most of his career. Even if the shorter hitters are pounding driver, Woodland can keep up with a 2-iron or 3-wood. That's a nice advantage to have in your corner. 

 

FanDuel Focus 

Billy Horschel ($10,400): He is priced affordably, just $400 higher than the average roster spot salary. The Florida Gator is making his first start of the season but hasn't been dormant too long as he traveled overseas to win the BMW PGA Championship and post a T36 at the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship. Horschel is 5-for-6 at this event with all five paydays doubling as top-30 finishes. That includes a pair of top 10s in the last two years. 

Thomas Detry ($8,400): The Fighting Illini product grades out as a top-15 talent when I look at two-year baseline performance across the globe. Detry has three missed cuts in nine career PGA TOUR starts but all three of the MCs came at major championships. He won't face that level of field this week, he's arriving off a top 25 at the bermuda, presumably getting more comfortable in PGA TOUR events, and outperforms his baseline historically on less-than-driver courses. Not bad for this price tag.

 

Good luck with your lineups this week and check back tomorrow for some more course-fit analysis. 

Josh Culp

Josh Culp joined NBC Sports Edge in 2014. The DFS enthusiast from Iowa State can be found on Twitter @futureoffantasy.