Rankings updated 11/17 at 11:55 AM ET. Removed Jordan Howard. Moved Miles Sanders up. Ticked Jay Ajayi up. Moved Kenyan Drake up based on reports. Moved David Montgomery down. Have Ryan Nall ready as a Bears plug-and-play. Adjusted Lions RBs. Removed Will Fuller, moved Kenny Stills up.
Week 11 Quarterbacks
QB Notes: Reaching another level, Lamar Jackson has five rushing touchdowns over his past four starts. He is averaging nearly two more fantasy points per game than any other quarterback. … Patrick Mahomes returned from the infirmary to one of the best games of his career, the highlight of which was a Tebow-ian jump pass that resulted in a 63-yard touchdown to Mecole Hardman. The Chiefs’ injury issues at wideout ended up making Mahomes’ supporting cast deeper and more experienced. … No. 2 in average quarterback points is Deshaun Watson, who will be squaring off with L-Jax in a contest with a 50 over/under. Will Fuller’s (hamstring) potential return would further up Watson’s ceiling. … Since returning, Drew Brees has posted one soul reaving and one complete dud. Although the Falcons were a soft matchup that went to waste, it’s impossible to see the same thing happening in Tampa Bay. Only the Cardinals are coughing up more quarterback fantasy points, while just two teams have permitted more passing scores. The 50.5 over/under doesn’t hurt.
Dak Prescott checks in as the No. 3 QB by average points following his latest three-score performance. He did so against a Vikings Defense that is hardly a pushover. That’s what the injury-riddled Lions are. Only five teams are silver plattering more enemy QB points. … People will be scared away by “@SF” on Kyler Murray’s schedule, but his QB6 results over the past three weeks featured a date with the NFC’s best defense. Murray’s numbers were goosed by hitting a big play to Andy Isabella, but he found another one in Week 10. That’s to say nothing of the pitch and catch Murray was playing with Christian Kirk. With the Cardinals not as worried about “establishing it” as SF’s Week 10 opponent Seattle, Murray will have no shortage of opportunities to work it down field. The Niners’ epically banged up offense could also have issues staying on the field, thereby keeping Murray on it. … Tom Brady has four passing touchdowns over his past four starts. Not good enough. He needs to show more vs. the Eagles’ vulnerable secondary. A bye week to further integrate Mohamed Sanu into the offense should help. … Try as he might, Jameis Winston can’t cancel himself in fantasy. The Turnover One is the QB8 by average points. The Saints are a tough matchup, but Winston throws so much — at least 43 attempts in each of his past four starts — that opponent doesn’t matter.
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Speaking of opponents not mattering, Josh Allen. Although he is keeping his floor intact, the sophomore can’t seem to have a ceiling day. He gets yet another opportunity against a Dolphins D gifting the seventh most QB fantasy points. … During a period that’s spanned nearly a month of real time, Matt Ryan has finished as the QB16 and QB25. He could have trouble rediscovering his early-season consistency vs. a Panthers D allowing the 10th fewest QB fantasy points, but Ryan’s floor is too high to fade any farther. … The Bengals are a dream matchup for Derek Carr, but the same is true for the Raiders’ running game. My, hardly adventurous, guess is that Jon Gruden will be more interested in throttling the Bengals on the ground than through the air. Carr has eclipsed two scores just one time all year. … Hysterically bad in Week 10, Philip Rivers will probably be facing the Chiefs’ underrated pass defense without LT Russell Okung (groin). Rivers has not had a three-touchdown day since Week 1. … … Coming off its bye week, a Broncos Defense permitting the third-fewest QB fantasy points will be getting Kirk Cousins without Adam Thielen (hamstring). Cousins faced solid pass defenses each of the past two weeks and totaled just 440 yards in a pair of back-and-forth contests.
Making his first start since Week 1, it’s difficult to remember that Nick Foles was injured in the process of throwing a 35-yard rainbow touchdown to D.J. Chark. Gardner Minshew heated up Chark, Chris Conley and Dede Westbrook, and aggressive Foles will have little trouble keeping them warm. … Like Lamar Jackson before him, Carson Wentz enters his Patriots showdown coming off a bye. That is invaluable against the league’s best defense. I’m guessing Wentz will find more weak spots in the city walls, but Alshon Jeffery’s (ankle) potential absence hurts. … Jimmy Garoppolo “broke out” against the Cardinals in Week 9. After losing Emmanuel Sanders (ribs) early in Week 10, he melted down. With George Kittle (knee, ankle) also highly questionable, Garoppolo is an uncertain streaming proposition vs. a defense allowing the most quarterback fantasy points. … Despite being loved by FootballGuys™ everywhere, Kyle Allen is still just the QB26 by average points. Even in his first 300-yard game last Sunday, he managed all of one score. His Week 11 case is built on facing a shaky Falcons Defense that did somehow manage to erase Drew Brees from the face of the earth.
Sam Darnold finally found a matchup, the Giants, that didn't immediately melt him. The Redskins should be another for Week 11. … One of the worst quarterbacks in football over the past month, Jared Goff has lost the QB1 benefit of the doubt at home. That’s especially true vs. a defense like the Bears, who have allowed just nine passing scores in nine games. … The Colts went all the way off the rails without Jacoby Brissett in Week 10. His Week 11 return will be big news in real life but with T.Y. Hilton (calf) still sidelined, it doesn’t really move the needle in fantasy. … Typically capable of a QB20-24 finish, Mason Rudolph has flashed zero in the way of ceiling. … Baker Mayfield finally had a decent game. A short-week date with the Steelers’ elite defense will make a hot streak all but unattainable. … If you’re looking for something to hang your hat on with Dwayne Haskins, this will be the first time he’s actually entered a week knowing he will be the starter. His previous disasters either came as in-game replacement or late week fill-in.