Updated 12/8 at 2:20 PM ET. Removed Josh Jacobs. Treat DeAndre Washington as a touchdown-or-bust FLEX. Jalen Richard low-end PPR FLEX.
Updated 12/8 at 11:25 AM ET. Removed Will Fuller. Moved Deshaun Watson down, moved Kenny Stills and Darren Fells up. Moved Josh Jacobs down ahead of possible deletion.
Week 14 Quarterbacks
QB Notes: Lamar Jackson had a down passing day in Week 13 but saved it with his legs. That has become a given for this special talent, who is averaging nearly four more weekly points than any other quarterback. … Deshaun Watson posted three scores while completing 72 percent of his passes against the best defense in football. The Broncos will be little more than a speed bump for a home matchup. … Patrick Mahomes is coming off easily the worst two-game stretch of his career. @NE would seem to be an unlikely place to get back on track, though similarly-talented Watson and Jackson have both had big days vs. the Pats in the past month. Slump, matchup, whatever … there is never a legitimate reason to fade Mahomes. A 48.5 over/under doesn’t hurt. … It took a soft opponent to get Aaron Rodgers back on track, but he has another one in the Redskins. The concern is the Packers being 13-point home favorites for a 42-totaled game. Hopefully he gets at least two touchdowns in the first half.
Ignoring Tyler Lockett as the Seahawks fully #EstablishIt, Russell Wilson is averaging 224 yards with four total scores over his past three starts. Now he gets a Rams Defense fresh off eliminating Kyler Murray. Wilson’s sky-high upside keeps him in the top five, but expectations need to be tempered. … Jameis Winston’s first scoreless start came in a blowout win. Go figure. That’s a feat he couldn’t repeat if he tried. Considering the state of the Bucs' nonexistent running game, Winston will be throwing all day in a 47.5-point totaled affair that finds Tampa as three-point home favorites. … Kirk Cousins has arguably played the best football of his career over the past month. For Week 14 he’s matched up with a Lions “defense” that just let Mitchell Trubisky erupt. As is the case with Rodgers, Cousins’ only real concern is the Vikings salting the game away early and riding their rushing attack. … @CHI doesn’t stand out as a smash spot for Dak Prescott, but a Bears D that just gave up a number of big plays to someone named David Blough will now be missing Prince Amukamara (hamstring). With the Cowboys desperate for a victory, Prescott should get his.
I’ve been addicted to fading Tom Brady, but facing Andy Reid at home in a game with a 48.5 over/under, I just can’t do it. The Chiefs are more vulnerable to the run than pass, but the Pats’ road to victory doesn’t go through Sony Michel. … Josh Allen has been shockingly steady this season, including as a runner, where he has five scores in his past five games. The Ravens’ white-hot defense is a daunting test, but Allen’s ground work keeps him stable as a low-end QB1. … Lamar Jackson, Russell Wilson and Aaron Rodgers have all been held to one passing touchdown by the 49ers over the past month. It’s hard to fade Drew Brees at home, but he is unlikely to have a three-score day. … Kyler Murray is coming off the worst start of his career to the exact wrong matchup. If you’re looking for something to cling to, the No. 1 overall pick has rarely failed to reach his floor. Even Week 13, bad as it was, was QB20 thanks to Murray’s rushing touchdown. … Ryan Tannehill is completing 72.7 percent of his passes while averaging 9.1 yards per attempt. Tannehill has had hot streaks before but never this sustained or explosive. Laying down their sword on the season, the Raiders grant big plays in abundance.
Matt Ryan has not been the same since his high-ankle sprain, totaling five scores in four games. That includes a one-touchdown day against the Panthers, though Ryan did pile up 311 yards while averaging 10.0 yards per attempt. Julio Jones (shoulder) is expected back. … Alshon Jeffery and Nelson Agholor’s return took Carson Wentz off life support. A Giants Defense permitting the ninth most QB fantasy points and 8.5 yards per attempt will further Wentz in his goal of starting a new life. … At least for one week, everything was alright for Jared Goff. For Week 14 he heads home for a date with a Seahawks Defense he stung for 395 yards on a short week in October. Only three teams are surrendering more weekly passing yards than Seattle. … Despite the Bengals’ surprisingly strong Week 13 showing against Sam Darnold, Baker Mayfield still seems likely to bounce back from last week’s horror show vs. the Steelers. … Jacoby Brissett has all of two passing touchdowns over his past five games. A lack of healthy weapons is the reason why, but it’s hard to see how Brissett doesn’t post QB2 numbers vs. the Bucs’ bottom-barrel defense.
The 49ers have been taking the game out of Jimmy Garoppolo’s hands whenever possible. That should include a road tilt with a Saints Defense that really gets after the passer. … Even in good matchups, Ryan Fitzpatrick has off-the-rails potential, but the Jets should do what they can to keep him hot. … Should Eli Manning be your first streaming choice? No. Is he getting Evan Engram back vs. an Eagles Defense that just served up 37 points to the Dolphins? Yes. … Facing a Falcons D permitting the third most QB fantasy points, Kyle Allen has a good chance at finishing better than QB22, but he lacks the overall upside of the players immediately ahead of him. … Tyrod Taylor’s brief Week 13 warmup suggests Philip Rivers is now at risk of in-game benchings. … Sam Darnold simply is not worth the risk behind his swinging gate offensive line. I seem to get him wrong every week, but I am more comfortable not betting on Darnold than vice versa. … Gardner Minshew was struggling for QB2 relevancy before Nick Foles’ return and is not worth forcing into lineups vs. the Chargers’ tough pass defense.
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