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Jason Kokrak
Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports
Odds and Ends

Byron Nelson: Second round three-ball option

by Brad Thomas
Updated On: May 12, 2022, 10:46 pm ET

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The AT&T Byron Nelson is officially underway, and all eyes were on Sebastian Munoz and his blazing 12-under-par-60. A round where he had two eagles and one bogey. His first-round leading score was four strokes better than the golfers currently tied in second. He was spectacular and lived up to everything I was hoping for out of this golf course. Scores will be low, and even-par is a bad round here. As we head into round two, I found a bet that has my attention. You can find these odds on PointsBet Sportsbook.

Jason Kokrak (+120) over Matthew Wolff and Henrik Stenson

Ideally, when backing guys in three balls, I want either monster odds or back a guy who might’ve underperformed, and I am banking on their rebound. This three-ball is much different. I am backing the better golfer and the golfer in the better part of their career trajectory.

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Kokrak was somewhat impressive in his opening round, firing off a 4-under-68. He would likely tell you that two bogeys at this course will not get it done. Especially a bogey on a getable par-5, that’s cause for concern. However, compared to both Wolff and Stenson, it was a phenomenal round.  

I do expect a better ball-striking round for Kokrak, especially on approach. He lost -0.42 strokes on approach and another -0.49 strokes around the green. He’s not spectacular around the green, but he is an above-average SG: App guy who very rarely loses strokes.

After last week, I was excited about the possibility of a Wolff resurgence. He was actually someone I considered a sleeper this weekend. I got a little ahead of myself. After watching him today, I am ready to full fade Wolff again. There wasn’t much about his game today that impressed me. He finished 2-over-par. He lost strokes in just about every strokes gained category. When you aren’t playing with confidence, the putter suffers the most. He lost -2.40 strokes on the putting greens and is on the fast track to a missed cut.

Stenson played okay. If you are even-par here, it’s hard to say anything positive about your round. This course plays like a birdie fest. Stenson always has been great with his irons. Honestly, if it weren’t for the +1.37 strokes gained on approach, he could be looking at a bigger number.

Kokrak is playing the better golf; back him to get the job done in this three-ball.

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Brad Thomas

Brad is a sports handicapper who is lucky enough to write about his true love; sports. "We may all root for different teams, but our objective remains the same… Beat the books! Remember, it’s a marathon not a sprint." Follow Brad on Twitter @MrBradThomas.