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Callum Wilson
Serena Taylor / Contributor
Odds and Ends

EPL Odds Boost: Wilson continues his goal run

by Brad Thomas
Updated On: May 21, 2022, 9:54 am ET

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As I begin to write this, a tear starts to fall down my face knowing this will be the last column I write for the 2021-2022 Premier League season what better way to put a bow on it by chasing after a very juice anytime scorer parlay, which has had its odds boosted by our friends at PointsBet Sportsbook. We are focusing on Norwich vs. Tottenham and Burnley vs. Newcastle.

Heung-Min Son to score & Callum Wilson to score (Boosted from +400 to +450)

Click here to see the odds

Why Brad Thomas thinks Heung-Min Son will score:

It’s not often that you have an uncontested chance to win the Premier League golden boot. Son is just one point behind Mohamed Salah in the golden boot race. Jurgen Klopp will likely keep Salah (muscle injury) up until the Champions League final to protect him from aggravating the injury. Giving Son the greenlight to chase after the trophy.

Luckily for Son and Tottenham, they play the EPL’s worse team. This season, the Canaries have allowed a league-high 79 goals with an xGA of 1.98. The number decreases slightly while at home down to  1.72; they have still allowed 38 goals.

It’s no secret that Harry Kane is the prominent goal scorer who also takes the penalty kicks when awarded. Norwich have conceded a league-high 12 penalties. The Spurs have won five this season; I’d expect should they win a penalty, Kane would let his teammate Son take it and try to chase the golden boot.

Son’s scoring quality should give Norwich issues even if they do not win a penalty. The Canaries are often caught on the counter when they do push forward. That’s a recipe for Son to find the back of the net. With an npxG of 0.44, I like his chances to score against the EPL’s worse team.

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Why Alex Blowers thinks Callum Wilson will score:
In 2022 my beloved Newcastle have been one of the best teams in the Premier League, picking up 34 points (11W-1D-5L), scoring 23 goals from 21.9 xG, and conceding 19 goals from 19.5 xGA per FBREF.com. We achieved this without our biggest goal-scoring threat being available for nearly all of it.

Callum Wilson picked up a calf injury in late December, restricting him to two appearances for the year and 17 (15 starts) for the season. His lack of minutes hasn’t stopped him from topping our goalscoring chart with six and xG table with 5.1 from 29 shots.

In his two appearances (112 minutes) against Manchester City and Arsenal, he generated 0.7 xG from four shots and caused both backlines problems with his pressing, runs, and movement. I expect him to turn in another quality performance on Sunday despite us technically having nothing to play for.

Over the next few seasons, we’re going on a journey from relegation candidates to competing at the top end of the table, and every player wants to be involved. They, including Wilson, will give everything against Burnley just like they did against The Gunners to show manager Eddie Howe they deserve to be a part of it.

Back Wilson to round off the season with a goal against a backline who have conceded seven goals and allowed 9.9 xGA in seven games under Michael Jackson.

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Brad Thomas

Brad is a sports handicapper who is lucky enough to write about his true love; sports. "We may all root for different teams, but our objective remains the same… Beat the books! Remember, it’s a marathon not a sprint." Follow Brad on Twitter @MrBradThomas.