Special Offer: Get an edge on draft day with our 2021 Draft Guide that is packed with hundreds of player profiles, rankings for various formats, projections, tiers, mock drafts, custom scoring, our ADP Trend Report tool and more. And don't forget to use promo code PRESEASON15 to get 15% off annual subscriptions, but act fast because this offer ends Wednesday, September 8. Click here to learn more!
Earlier this week, we took a look at the teams getting the most action on their Over in the PointsBet Win Totals market. Today, we go to the other side of the league and examine which teams are seeing the most money come in on their Unders. So much of sports betting is driven by perception, and these teams are held in low regard.
Houston Texans - O/U 4
The Houston Texans are preparing for what could be a disastrous season. If you follow the timeline of this franchise for the past few years, you would see more dysfunction than optimism. Franchise staples J.J. Watt and DeAndre Hopkins are long gone, and the same will likely be the case for embattled quarterback Deshaun Watson. The Bill O’Brien era in Houston is over, but NFL bettors don't think things will improve this season. The Texans have more money backing their season win total Under than any other team. In a 17 game season, most NFL bettors think the Texans can't make it to a 5-12 record. I’m not so sure that's the case. The quarterback situation is dire, but the fact that Bill O’Brien is no longer the head coach is a big deal. Yes, O'Brien ruined the roster, but his presence alone was a drag on the team. In the offseason, the Texans hired longtime NFL Assistant David Culley. Culley has spent a lot of time working with Chiefs Head Coach Andy Reid, so he knows how to coach offense. Tyrod Taylor is not a franchise quarterback, but you can do much worse. Taylor can lead a veteran offense to at least 5 wins.
The Texans will likely be an underdog in every game they play this season. Outside of their own division, they play the AFC East and the very tough NFC West. The Texans have home games vs. the Jaguars, Panthers and Patriots which are all winnable games. They have a pair of road games vs. the Jets and Jags which could also be wins. The last two teams with Win Totals of four games were the Jets in 2017 and the Dolphins in 2019. Both those teams exceeded their Win Totals.
Editor’s Note: Get an edge with our premium Betting Tools that are packed with live odds, betting trends, predictions, player prop projections, our extensive Edge Finder and much more. And don't forget to use promo code SAVE10 to get 10% off. Click here to learn more!
Detroit Lions - O/U 5
I feel as if this isn't the first time the Lions have been heavily bet to the Under in the Win Totals market. This year, the Lions will once again have a new head coach. The big change is the fact that Matthew Stafford will not be the Lions quarterback for the first time in 12 seasons; Stafford was traded to the Rams in the offseason. Jared Goff, who came back in the deal, will be the Lions starting quarterback. Pro Bowl wideout Kenny Golladay is also no longer in Detroit. The Lions roster has issues to say the least. New Lions Head Coach Dam Campbell has had some viral moments on the podium which has not helped the perception of the Lions. The truth of the matter is that Campbell has assembled a great coaching staff with guys like Anthony Lynn, Duce Staley, Aaron Glenn and Dom Capers to name a few.
The Lions will likely be underdogs in 16 of their 17 games this season. Games vs. the Bears, Eagles, Bengals, Steelers and Falcons seem competitive but getting to six wins will be tough. I can see it happening, but I will not be taking that optimism to the window. The Lions will likely go into tank mode at some point during the season.
Las Vegas Raiders - O/U 7
The perception that the Raiders will lose double-digit games this season is based on two people: head coach Jon Gruden and quarterback Derek Carr. Last season, the Raiders finished the season with an 8-8 record. They actually were 6-3 after nine games last year, but the public thinks the Raiders are a six win or less team headed into this year. This season, the Raiders do actually have what many would consider the toughest schedule in the league. They play 13 games vs. teams with a win total of eight or higher. The Raiders will likely be favorites in six games this season. Las Vegas opens the season vs. the Baltimore Ravens then they play the Steelers, Dolphins, Chargers, Bears, Broncos, Eagles and Giants. They could have four or five wins by Week 8. The back end of the Raiders schedule is very tough, but I would not be so quick to fade them in the Win Totals market. It's more of a stay away rather than hammer the Under.