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Odds and Ends

Vaughn Dalzell's NFL Week 1 Betting Card: Gibson, Chubb, Rams vs Bears

by Vaughn Dalzell
Updated On: September 12, 2021, 9:34 am ET

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BEARS AT RAMS: 1H Under 23.5

Last season with Nick Foles and Mitchell Trubisky, the Bears ranked 27th in first-half ppg on the road with 8.7.

In Andy Dalton's first two starts with Dallas last season, the Cowboys scored three and 10 points in the entire game versus Arizona and Washington. Entering 2021, Dalton struggled in the preseason with Chicago.

The Bears either punted or turned the ball over in seven of his nine possessions, so I will not expect much to open this game in primetime on the road.

Read more about Rams and Bears 1H Under 23.5

 

JETS AT PANTHERS: Over 45.0

During the 2020 regular season, 11 of the 16 (68.7%) Jets' games combined for 42 or more points. The Panthers had seven of eight home games combine for 39 or more points.

The Jets defense allowed 20 or more points to every team they played on the road last year. Six of the eight teams they played away from home scored 27 or more points, which is a positive for Sam Darnold's first game as a Panther.

In the last 14 games that Christian McCaffrey scored a touchdown (dating back to 2019), the Panthers scored 24 or more points nine times (64.2%). 

Read more about Jets at Panthers Over 45

 

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NICK CHUBB Over 13.5 RUSHING ATTEMPTS VS. CHIEFS

Nick Chubb has two career games versus the Chiefs and he posted 13 and 22 rushing attempts. His 13-rushing attempt performance against Kansas City came in the postseason and Chubb has expressed how disappointed he was in his effort.

Against the Chiefs, opposing running backs hit the Over 13.5 carries in five out of six games. Chubb hit the Over 13.5 rushing attempts in 9-of-12 (75%) games during the regular season and 10-of-13 (76.9%), including the postseason. 

Cleveland was 8-1 on the ML when Chubb had 14-plus carries last season.

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KEENAN ALLEN Over 5.5 RECEPTIONS VS. WASHINGTON

Keenan Allen finished with 100 receptions in 14 games (7.1) and caught six or more passes in 8-of-14 (57.1%) contests.

Last season with Justin Herbert, Allen received double-digit targets in 10 out of 12 games. Allen caught six or more passes in five of the first six games with Herbert and six out of the first eight before hamstring issues caught up to him.

In two career games versus Washington, Allen has 14 receptions on 19 targets, owning a 73.7% catch percentage.

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ANTONIO GIBSON Over 13.5 RUSHING ATTEMPTS VS. CHARGERS

Antonio Gibson had 13 or more carries in five of the final eight games but only hit this 33% of the time due to a lot of factors.

Quarterback play changed a ton, negative game scripts did not help and the craziest stat of them all -- only a 43.0% snap share. Well, that will change.

Gibson had eight games of between nine and 13 carries last season. Los Angeles allowed 10-of-16 (62.5%) running backs to hit 14 or more carries last season. Five of the six Unders finished between 10 and 13 carries.

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KYLE PITTS Over 3.5 RECEPTIONS VS. EAGLES

Last season, Hayden Hurst caught four or more passes in 10 out of 16 (62.5%) games, and you better believe Kyle Pitts should be involved. 

Pitts recorded four or more catches in seven out of eight games in his final season at Florida. He totaled 43 receptions, 770 yards and 12 touchdowns on the season.

The Eagles allowed 11 of 16 tight ends to record three-plus receptions last season.

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LAMAR JACKSON Over 10.5 RUSHING ATTEMPTS VS. RAIDERS

 

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