The most talked about topic in the upcoming NFL draft has been which quarterback will be selected by the San Francisco 49ers with the third overall pick. This market has taken many twists and turns on PointsBet. As I’m writing this article, Alabama quarterback Mac Jones is still the betting favorite at -225 and four days ago that number was -140. Jones remains the solid favorite but there are many different opinions and I would not be surprised if Jones was not the favorite by draft night.
My NBC Sports Edge colleagues Drew Disnick and Thor Nystrom have each said the phrase: “ I will believe the 49ers are taking Mac Jones when Roger Goodell reads his name at the podium." Unlike the people on Twitter, I don't consider myself an NFL draft guru. I don't pretend to spend hours watching tape. I go by what the people that are connected to NFL front offices say, and they have all said Mac Jones since day one and the odds have reflected that for the most part. Things did get a little wonky after Justin Fields' pro day, but other than that Jones has been the guy.
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When trusted NFL insiders talk about the third overall pick, after they mention Mac Jones, they almost always say, "or it could be North Dakota State quarterback Trey Lance." The “or it could be Trey Lance“ part needs to be taken more seriously. This morning, I noticed that Trey Lance is now +180 to be the third overall pick on PointsBet. Matter of fact his odds have shortened across the industry.
As draft day approaches, I would tell you to make sure you have something on Trey Lance to be the third overall pick.
On March 29th, eight days after the Niners traded up to get the 3rd pick, Lance was +160 on PointsBet to be the third pick.
On April 15th, as the talk of Mac Jones and the baseless speculation of Justin Fields being the third pick caught steam, Lance fell all the way to +600 on PointsBet. However, since that day, Lance's odds have gotten shorter and shorter and I would not be surprised if Lance is even the favorite by draft night.
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