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Miomir Kecmanovic
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Odds and Ends

Tennis Best Bets for August 3

by Kenny Ducey
Updated On: August 3, 2022, 4:59 pm ET

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We've made it to the North American hardcourt swing, which could be the most exciting part of the tennis calendar. After a smaller tournament in Atlanta last week which ran alongside a clay-court event in Umag, we've got the Citi Open this week as well as action in Los Cabos.

Without further ado, let's get into some picks.

Miomir Kecmanovic (-264) vs. Jordan Thompson (+200)

Yes, Jordan Thompson has never beaten Miomir Kecmanovic. In fact, in their four meetings, he's only ever won one set. With that said, I think Wednesday could be a rare turning point in this head-to-head for the Aussie.

Thompson's win over Yannick Hanfmann on Tuesday was incredibly convincing, and was a long time coming. He's looked very good against Jason Kubler and Brandon Nakashima in recent matches, only to lose both to red-hot players. On top of that, he's not played three matches since Wimbledon to pick up some form.

Kecmanovic hasn't played since getting dusted by Novak Djokovic at the All England Club, and prior to Wimbledon was on a three-match losing streak. I think he can pick up some form again and get back to where he was during the early part of hardcourt season, but it could take a little time. Thompson should steal a set here as the guy with more matches under his belt.

Edge: Thompson +1.5 Sets (-110)

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Facundo Bagnis (+150) vs. Ricardas Berankis (-189)

Hats off to Facundo Bagnis for a hard-fought win over Ernesto Escobedo on Tuesday, but this is where things get serious. Not only was Bagnis the recipient of a great gift , which was Escobedo failing to land any first serves, he's also going to be up against a player with far more experience on this surface.

It feels like Berankis is old and past his prime at this point given the fact that we really haven't seen him play much meaningful tennis over the last three years, but he's quickly reminding us that he is a very effective player — particularly on hardcourts. The Lithuanian is 13-6 on indoor and outdoor hardcourts, and for his career he's 242-156 on outdoor hard, across all competitions.

His win over Quentin Halys, another good hardcourt player, is one I rate quite a bit. Bagnis beating up on a guy who couldn't land any serves is the definition of fool's gold. I'd expect the clay-court specialist to struggle a great deal.

Edge: Berankis -2.5 Games

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Kenny Ducey

Kenny Ducey is a former member of the Baseball Writers' Association of America, writing and editing for Sports Illustrated and Baseball Prospectus. His work also appears at DraftKings and The Action Network. Follow him on Twitter @KennyDucey.