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Roberto Bautista Agut
Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
Odds and Ends

Tennis Best Bets for June 23

by Kenny Ducey
Updated On: June 22, 2022, 9:02 pm ET

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We've ditched the dirt and are on to grass season on the ATP and WTA tours. There are two small events happening right now in Europe that I'm seeing a ton of value in, and without further ado I'll get into them now.

Daniil Medvedev (-345) vs. Roberto Bautista Agut (+260)

I'm perplexed by this line, considering when these two men met last week Halle the line was a little bit tighter. There, Roberto Bautista Agut fell in two straightforward sets, though the match was a lot closer than the scoreline would indicate.

Bautista Agut, who is a world-class grass player, brought up nine break points but was unable to convert a single one against the World No. 1. It was a masterclass in serving from the Russian, but here on grass courts which are  a bit slower things could get tricky.

Bautista Agut was 3-0 against Medvedev before they met in Halle, and while all those matches were set on hardcourts, that is more than enough of a sample for me to feel great about backing the World No. 20 here. Both men are just as good on grass as they are on a hardcourt, meaning this line should be tighter.

Edge: Bautista Agut +1.5 Sets (+110)

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Alexander Bublik (-110) vs. Taylor Fritz (-110)

Fritz has never beaten Bublik in three tries, but he's taken a set in two of the three meetings. In the other, he lost 6-4, 7-6. These have been very tight affairs, the point is, and in a match which Bublik has every reason to give less than 100% in, I think Fritz can thrive.

Bublik really should have lost to Frances Tiafoe with the way the second set of their match was going, and then he got to play a pushover in John Millman. Here, the World No. 39 will need to deal with a hungry Fritz who is desperate for some positive momentum heading into Wimbledon.

Fritz has won a grass-court title before and is a great player on this surface with his lethal serve-forehand combination. I expect a great match out of him, and a win.

Edge: Fritz -110

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Kenny Ducey

Kenny Ducey is a former member of the Baseball Writers' Association of America, writing and editing for Sports Illustrated and Baseball Prospectus. His work also appears at DraftKings and The Action Network. Follow him on Twitter @KennyDucey.