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Odds and Ends

US Open Best Bets for September 10

by Kenny Ducey
Updated On: September 10, 2022, 1:31 pm ET

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We've arrived at the final of the US Open on the women's side, and there is a lot on the line. Ons Jabeur can become the first African woman to win the tournament while Iga Swiatek can continue to build her legacy.

Let's get into some picks.

Iga Swiatek (-180) vs. Ons Jabeur (+145)

This is so tough for me to really call, and frankly I don't think there is a ton of betting value in this match. I don't think Swiatek has been overly convincing in her victories, but I do think she's better than Jabeur.

The two have met four times, with the matches being split 2-2. Swiatek did take the only meeting between the two this season, which is pretty noteworthy considering she's never been so dominant. With that said, she has split the hardcourt meetings and did lose to Jabeur last year in Cincinnati.

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Jabeur can beat her opponents when they play on their back foot, and she loves to be the aggressor. Her variety can make life difficult for opponents who can't really hang around the net.

These are not things we can say about Swiatek, who is an all-world defender and who will stretch the court and prevent Jabeur from establishing some offense here. I also think, with her speed, Jabeur will be second-guessing the entire match.

With that said, Swiatek hasn't made life easy on herself and has consistently dropped sets and fallen into holes. I do think she'll prevail, but it's hard to see it being easy.

Edge: Over 21.5

Kenny Ducey

Kenny Ducey is a former member of the Baseball Writers' Association of America, writing and editing for Sports Illustrated and Baseball Prospectus. His work also appears at DraftKings and The Action Network. Follow him on Twitter @KennyDucey.