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The Seattle Storm and Los Angeles Sparks face off today at 9:00 pm E.T. as part of a three-game WNBA Sunday slate. PointsBet Sportsbook lists the Storm as a 6-point road favorite, with the total set at 153.
We moved to 5-0 after our cashing in our Connecticut bet yesterday and will try to keep the momentum going and stay with the spread for this match.
Seattle Storm vs. Los Angeles Sparks Odds
This season, Seattle is 2-0 against Los Angeles, winning both games by a combined 19 points. However, Derrick Fisher and co. will feel they are in a great position to come away with an upset win and make one last lunge at a playoff push. Much of that confidence is due to Breanna Stewart's absence. It has been announced that Stewart will miss the remainder of the regular season for the Storm with a left foot injury.
The Storm are third-place in the WNBA standings at 20-10. Seattle was extremely impressive in their last game against the Washington Mystics. They earned a 105-71 victory where they shot 59.1% from the field and converted on 14 shots from behind the arc.
Meanwhile, the Los Angeles Sparks are 10-19 and currently sit in tenth place in the WNBA standings. The Sparks could move into a tie for 8th place with the Dallas Wings and Washington Mystics with a win tonight.
Seattle is a team that likes to push the pace and try to find open looks from the perimeter in transition. They average 85.6 points per game (second in the league) on 45.1% from the field and 38.2% from three (first in the league). Over the last ten games, the Storm have played with the second-fastest pace in the WNBA. During that span, they are averaging 97.13 possessions per game.
The Storm are also capable of positively impacting a game from the defensive side of the floor. Seattle gives up an average of 80.2 points per game and hold their opponents to a 42.8% field goal rating. They have the third-best defensive rating this season, allowing 97.7 points per 100 possessions.
With Stewart being listed out, the key player for the Seattle Storm will be Jewell Loyd. She averages 17.7 points per game, 4.2 rebounds, and 3.8 assists while shooting 41.9% from the field and 37.7% from three. Loyd had 18 points and six rebounds in the last matchup against the Sparks.
The Los Angeles Sparks are the worst team in the league when it comes to offensive production. They average just 72 points per game and only convert on 40.4% of their shot attempts. They also have the lowest rebounding number in the league, grabbing an average of only 29 boards a game.
Derrick Fisher will need to tailor their game plan around defense and try to limit the Storm's shot attempts. Right now, the Sparks are giving up 77.9 points per game and allow their opponents to shoot 42.1% from the floor. L.A. holds their opponents to just 63.6 field goal attempts per game. That is the second-lowest in the league trailing only the Connecticut Sun.
Individually, Nneka Ogwumike has been the best player for the Sparks recently. She averages 14.1 points per game, 6.0 rebounds, and 2.7 assists while shooting 53.9% from the field. Ogwumike was not healthy for the previous two matches against the Storm this season.
Final Storm-Sparks Prediction and Pick
Given that the Sparks are the worst offensive team in the league and struggle to grab boards, they will not be able to take advantage of a Stewart-less Storm team. Expect Seattle to continue to play with a fast pace and turn this game into a three-point shootout.
For those reasons, I am taking the Storm to sweep the regular-season series against the Sparks and cover the spread.
Edge: Seattle Storm -6
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