Presented today is a look at this winter's top 111 free agents. I'm excluding players whose options appear certain to be exercised, a group that includes Aaron Nola, Tim Anderson and Luis Severino. Candidates to be posted by Japanese teams, such as Masataka Yoshida and Shintaro Fujinami, are also excluded.
Players are ranked based on how I expect teams will view them, not on how I view them myself. As such, they're listed from predicted biggest contract to smallest, using my patented adjustments for multiyear deals.
All ages are as of April 1, 2023
1. Aaron Judge (30, OF, Yankees): With his 62 homers, 211 OPS+ and 10.6 bWAR, Judge put together maybe the greatest walk year in the history of free agency. Now it's just a matter of how many years at $40 million or so does a team want to commit to a 31-year-old who often had injury issues in his 20s. I'm not super concerned about the tendency of huge hitters to age particularly poorly, given that Judge is a clearly better athlete than those who preceded him. Still, he's already at an age at which players tend to exit their primes, and I don't think the fact that he was a late bloomer helps him there. Prediction: eight years, $320 million
2. Carlos Correa (28, SS, Twins): Even though he's been around since 2015 and already went through this last winter, Correa is the youngest position player in free agency, edging out Andrew Benintendi. He was better offensively last season (140 OPS+) than Twins fans will acknowledge, but he was also weaker defensively than anyone who witnessed his 2021 performance with the glove would have imagined. As he continues to get a little slower each season, it's quite possible he'll need to spend the back half of his next contract at third base. At least his bat should be up to the task. Prediction: eight years, $264 million
3. Trea Turner (29, SS, Dodgers): Turner suffered some in the power department with the deadened ball last season; his 40 barrels were a career high, but they produced just 21 homers. Apart from that, it was mostly more of the same. Turner isn't a great shortstop, but because he's so agile and focused on maintaining that, he might well age better at the position than some of his rivals here. He'd also do just fine at second base. Durability hasn't been an issue for him of late, and he should be able to steal bases at will with the new rules coming into play. Prediction: seven years, $245 million
4. Xander Bogaerts (30, SS, Red Sox): Boston got a massive bargain when Bogaerts signed away his first three years of free agency at $20 million per season, but at least the shortstop did get an opt out. One of baseball's most consistent hitters, he's posted OPS+s between 128 and 139 each of the last five years, and he's gotten quite a bit better defensively since his younger days. He'll still need to move to third base at some point, but he should last for at least two more years at his natural position. The decline in his power last season is a significant concern, but it won't stop him from getting an excellent deal. Prediction: six years, $180 million
5. Jacob deGrom (34, SP, Mets): It's scary the kind of outlay it's going to take to land a 34-year-old pitcher who has missed big chunks of the last two seasons, but it might well be worth the risk. After all, deGrom's stuff was as good as ever last season after the previous season's partially torn UCL, and the newer injury, a stress reaction in the back of his shoulder, doesn't seem likely to recur. A two-year deal would be ideal, but most likely, he'll have his pick of three-year proposals and someone will go four. Prediction: four years, $152 million
6. Dansby Swanson (29, SS, Braves): Swanson posted his best season both offensively and defensively in 2022, though his 60-game 2020 campaign was nearly its equal. 2021 saw him suffer in both areas, but if one believes Statcast, he's really been pretty much the same hitter four years running and the swing in results mostly comes down to luck. Even if he is somewhat overrated offensively at this point, it bolsters his case that he's the one shortstop here who should have no issue remaining at the position for the duration of his contract. The power seems certain to stick around, too. Prediction: six years, $168 million
7. Brandon Nimmo (30, OF, Mets): Nimmo's career .385 OBP ranks eighth among active players (min. 1000 PA), and it's strictly superstars ahead of him. Health has been an issue for him, as he's missed big chunks of three of his six seasons as a major leaguer, and his defense in center field is merely average and likely to get worse, forcing him to a corner eventually. Still, he's an awfully valuable player in the short term, and he should still be a positive contributor even if he finishes his contract as a platoon left fielder. Prediction: five years, $125 million
8. Justin Verlander (40, SP, Astros): Verlander will claim his third Cy Young Award after his remarkable return from Tommy John surgery included a 1.75 ERA at age 39 and a second World Series ring. He could set a record on a one-year deal this winter, but given that he wants to pitch until he's 45, he might prefer a two- or three-year pact instead. Prediction: two years, $76 million
9. Carlos Rodón (30, SP, Giants): In spite of his 2021 breakthrough, Rodón was a question mark again last season after dealing with a shoulder problem and diminished stuff late in the previous year. As it turned out, he made a career-high 31 starts and was one of baseball's most dominant pitchers in posting a 33% strikeout rate and a 2.25 FIP. He could be viewed as just as much of an injury risk as deGrom going forward, but he's a legit top-10 starter and he'd make sense at $30 million per year on a short-term deal. Prediction: three years, $93 million
10. Edwin Díaz (29, RP, Mets): (Editor's note: Díaz has already agreed with the Mets for five years, $102 million. The following caption is unchanged from the one written beforehand.) The one record that's surely going down this winter is Díaz landing the biggest contract ever for a reliever. Right now, that's the five-year, $86 million deal that Aroldis Chapman signed with the Yankees prior to 2017. Díaz is coming off a ridiculous season in which he struck out half of the batters he faced, and he has a 2.27 ERA over the last three years. One imagines the Mets will make every effort to bring him back. Prediction: five years, $105 million
11. Willson Contreras (30, C, Cubs): Contreras caught just 72 games last season because of leg problems, but he still started 111 games overall and he's been rather durable otherwise. He remains a perfectly solid defensive catcher in spite of being a bit below average in the framing department, and his career 115 OPS+ is a match for that of JT Realmuto. Prediction: four years, $80 million
12. Koudai Senga (30, SP, Japan): Long one of Japan's most successful pitchers, Senga had a 1.94 ERA and a 156/49 K/BB ratio in 144 innings for Softbank last season, lowering his career ERA to 2.59. His fastball averages around 96 mph and will combine with his splitter to give him two plus pitches. He has the ability to opt out of his contract with Softbank and the service time required to leave Japan, so he won't need to go through the posting process to make his move to the U.S. Even though his control isn't great, there should be a ton of interest. Prediction: four years, $80 million
13. Chris Bassitt (34, SP, Mets): Bassitt is turning 34 and he wasn't quite as good last season (113 ERA+) as in 2021 (131 ERA+), but his stuff hasn't seen any sort of decline yet and, since he was hurt so often in his 20s, he doesn't have as much mileage on his arm as the typical 34-year-old pitcher. With no arm issues to speak of the last four years, he's perhaps the safest starter available. Prediction: three years, $60 million
14. Jameson Taillon (31, SP, Yankees): Back-to-back healthy seasons since returning from Tommy John surgery have made Taillon of the most intriguing pitchers available in free agency. It also helps that he's younger than most of the competition. Still, that he's a modest flyball pitcher with unexceptional strikeout rates and a lengthy injury history wouldn't seem to make him worthy of a big bet. Prediction: four years, $64 million
15. Nathan Eovaldi (33, SP, Red Sox): Eovaldi was one of the AL's best pitchers in 2021, but he fell off last season even before back problems set in and resulted in a worrisome velocity drop. Maybe he'll get that back next year, but it's a definite added risk on top of how injury prone he's always been. Depending on how his market looks, he could be a candidate to take the $19.65 million qualifying offer. Prediction: two years, $40 million
16. Josh Bell (30, 1B, Padres): Bell went from posting an .877 OPS in 437 plate appearances with the Nationals to .587 in 210 plate appearances with the Padres, but that was still good for a 128 OPS+ overall. While his performance after the trade will certainly cost him some money, the fact that the deal made him ineligible for a qualifying offer should earn him some back. He's worked hard and turned himself into a better first baseman than he was during his days with the Pirates. Prediction: three years, $48 million
17. Clayton Kershaw (35, SP, Dodgers): Kershaw hasn't made 30 starts since 2015, and he's essentially a lock to miss some time next year. However, he's also never missed much more than one-third of a season and he's been available in the postseason all but once during the Dodgers' current 10-year run. It probably won't be successful, but more teams should look into the possibility of luring him away this winter. Prediction: one year, $24 million
18. Jose Abreu (36, 1B, White Sox): Abreu plummeting to 15 homers yet still managing a 133 OPS+ last season was pretty remarkable. He was just the fourth player since 2017 (min. 400 PA) to hit .300 at age 35 or higher. He's going to start to lose it at some point, but there isn't anything in the numbers that suggests it's about to happen. Even the 15-homer thing seems like a fluke, given that he had 47 barrels. Prediction: two years, $38 million
19. Andrew Benintendi (28, OF, Yankees): Benintendi went from hitting 17 homers with a .324 OBP in 2021 to five homers with a .373 OBP last season, so it's hard to say exactly what one is getting here. Still, he's been fairly valuable for the most part, and he'll play next year at just 28. Prediction: three years, $45 million
20. Zach Eflin (28, SP/RP, Phillies): Eflin is a fascinating free agent; he's the youngest starting pitcher available, and while he's had a lot of injury issues of late, his only arm problem came way back in 2017. He's been a league-average starter when healthy the last five years, but he might be even more valuable as a reliever, which is how he spent September (1 ER, 9 K in 7 2/3 IP) and the postseason (4 ER, 12 K in 10 2/3 IP). He could take a one-year deal now in the hopes of a big four- or five-year deal next winter or he could play it safe and take a two- or three-year contract that would still set him up for life. Prediction: three years, $45 million
21. Anthony Rizzo (33, 1B, Yankees): Rizzo has the option of remaining with the Yankees for the same $16 million he made last season. However, he's coming off a much better year this time around, having posted a 131 OPS+ in 2022 (he was at 112 in 2021). It seems like he should be able to do a little better on another two-year deal. Prediction: two years, $36 million
22. Taijuan Walker (30, SP, Mets): A bet on Walker is a bet on his splitter, which performed far better than ever in a 2022 campaign in which he posted a 3.49 ERA in 157 innings. He's remained relatively healthy three straight seasons, but he's also faded as the year has gone on the last two years. He's still never made 30 starts, and he's qualified for the ERA title only once, that in 2015. Some team will commit, but the average strikeout rate and exit velocity numbers aren't especially encouraging. Prediction: three years, $42 million
23. Tyler Anderson (33, SP, Dodgers): The Dodgers offered Anderson $8 million in March even though they didn't even necessarily have a rotation spot open for him; he piggybacked off of Tony Gonsolin's starts initially. He went on to make the All-Star team, pitch a career-high 178 2/3 innings and finish 10th in the majors in ERA. Anderson's velocity and strikeout rate were no better than usual last year, so he seems like a dangerous signing on a lengthy deal. It'd probably be best for everyone if he just remained with the Dodgers. Prediction: two years, $32 million
24. Andrew Heaney (31, SP, Dodgers): Despite a 5.83 ERA for the Angels and Yankees, Heaney was heavily pursued last winter, with several teams hoping for a chance to turn him around. It'll be interesting to see what the demand is like this time around with the stakes quite a bit higher. Heaney had an extremely impressive 35.5% strikeout rate in 73 innings for the Dodgers, but he also missed a bunch of time with shoulder inflammation. He's topped 130 innings just once in his career. Prediction: two years, $30 million
25. Martín Pérez (31, SP, Rangers): Combining his second straight career-high strikeout rate with his best groundball rate since 2016, Pérez put together a stunning 2022. His 2.89 ERA was more than two runs lower than his 5.05 mark over the previous three seasons. It feels like genuine improvement -- his cutter has become a very nice offering -- but given his history, there's good reason to question whether it will last. Prediction: three years, $36 million
26. Jurickson Profar (30, OF, Padres): Profar has a $7.5 million player option to remain with the Padres, but it sounds like he'll be very popular if he opts out. Profar's strengths are his fine walk and strikeout rates, as well as his ability to pull one out to right field every once in a while. Still, he makes little hard contact on the whole, which is why he has a career .264 BABIP and .238 average. He's also not great in left field. It doesn't seem like a package that should net a three- or four-year deal. Prediction: three years, $33 million
27. Christian Vazquez (32, C, Astros): The bat suffered as a part-timer in Houston, but Vazquez had a 109 OPS+ in four months for the Red Sox this season. He should rate as one of the game's 15 or so best catchers for another couple of years, and there are several potential contenders that would benefit from adding one of those. Prediction: three years, $33 million
28. Sean Manaea (31, SP, Padres): Manaea lost the feel for his changeup, traditionally his best pitch, and mustered just a 4.96 ERA in 158 innings for the Padres. Still, his 23% strikeout rate wasn't too bad and his velocity is a little better now than it was a few years back. If he regains the changeup, he'll be a bargain for some team. It's up to him whether he wants to bet on himself with a one-year contract or take a modest two-year deal. Prediction: two years, $26 million
29. José Quintana (34, SP, Cardinals): Quintana's resurgence was all about generating more soft contact; his 20.2% strikeout rate was his worst mark since his second season back in 2013. On the other hand, his 5.3% HR/FB rate was half of his career mark. It'll probably be enough to get him a two-year deal. Prediction: two years, $26 million
30. Jean Segura (33, 2B, Phillies): Segura's worst year in the last six still saw him credited with 1.7 bWAR in 2019. He's come in at 6.7 bWAR in essentially two years' worth of playing time since 2020 (283 games). He's 33, so it won't last forever. Still, he'd seem to be worthy of a two-year deal if the Phillies buy out his $17 million option for 2023. Prediction: two years, $24 million
31. Michael Conforto (30, OF, FA): Although there was talk of him returning from shoulder surgery in September, Conforto ended up going unsigned for the duration of the 2022 season. Already a disappointment in 2021, he'd surely seem to be looking at a one-year deal in an attempt to rebuild his value. Still, he should get a fair guarantee, as long as he can demonstrate that he's healthy. Prediction: one year, $15 million
32. J.D. Martinez (35, DH, Red Sox): Martinez's last gasp in Boston's finale, when he homered twice against the Rays, should help him a bit this winter. He was outstanding for 2 ½ months last season before losing his power; from June 15 to Aug. 27, he homered just once in 57 games. From there on in, though, he came in at .270/.336/.541 with seven homers in 30 games. Prediction: one year, $15 million
33. Ross Stripling (33, SP, Blue Jays): Stripling's 2.92 ERA in 24 starts for the Blue Jays was a great surprise. He didn't have the same sort of strikeout success with his slider that he did early in his Dodgers days, but his improved changeup helped him limit lefties to a .215/.246/.316 line. Prediction: two years, $23 million
34. Kenley Jansen (35, RP, Braves): While Jansen obviously isn't what he was, a team could do a lot worse; he posted a 32.7% strikeout rate and led the NL with 41 saves last season. The contact he gives up is harder than it used to be, but it's still softer than what the league allows as a whole. Perhaps he'll settle for another one-year contract again anyway, but someone could do two. Prediction: one year, $14 million
35. Mitch Haniger (32, OF, Mariners): Although his production fell off from his 39-homer 2021 season, Haniger hit the ball as hard as ever in his 57 games last season. Injuries have robbed him of athleticism, but he's still adequate in right field, even if he can't play there every day. The lack of durability will make him a tough sell on a multiyear deal. Prediction: one year, $14 million
36. Michael Wacha (31, SP, Red Sox): The shiny 11-2 record and 3.32 ERA will ensure that Wacha gets a better payday this winter than he did the last three, but his strikeout rate is declining and he's been on the injured list five straight years. He looks like a pass from here. Prediction: one year, $14 million
37. Carlos Carrasco (36, SP, Mets): Especially since it's attached to a $3 million buyout, Carrasco's $14 million option for 2023 should be picked up by the Mets. His stuff has declined some the last two years, but he still struck out a batter an inning in 29 starts last season and managed to keep his ERA just 4.00 in spite of an unusual .337 BABIP. Even if the Mets want to move on, someone will want to pay him close to the option price. Prediction: one year, $14 million
38. Nick Martinez (32, SP/RP, Padres): The four-year, $25.5 million deal that Martinez signed with the Padres last winter actually had the final three years as all player options. He shouldn't have much trouble beating those $6.5 million salaries in free agency after posting a 3.47 ERA in 10 starts and 37 relief appearances in his return to the U.S. Prediction: three years, $27 million
39. Justin Turner (38, 3B, Dodgers): The Dodgers can keep Turner for $16 million or buy him out for $2 million. With Miguel Vargas ready to step in, it would make sense for them to move on. Still, Turner doesn't seem done as a useful player. Even though his OPS has declined five straight years, last season's .788 mark was still comfortably above average (116 OPS+). Prediction: one year, $13 million
40. Michael Brantley (35, OF, Astros): Brantley did his usual thing for most of the first half last season before his shoulder required surgery, batting .288/.370/.416. He's finished with an OPS+ between 119 and 127 five years running. He'll probably need to DH pretty frequently if he's going to remain healthy, and even then, he could still have trouble remaining in the lineup. His bat is awfully valuable, though. Prediction: one year, $13 million
41. Robert Suarez (32, RP, Padres): Despite needing knee surgery in the middle of the year, costing him two months, Suarez pitched 47 2/3 innings with a 2.27 ERA last season. He'll surely turn down his $5 million player option, and he should be considered for closing gigs this winter. Prediction: two years, $20 million
42. Joc Pederson (30, OF, Giants): Coming off a .275/.353/.521 season that was good for a career-best 144 OPS+, Pederson figures to be more heavily pursued this winter than he was the last two. Still, his defense has declined to the point at which he's giving back a great deal of his offensive value when he's stationed in left field. It'd be for the best if he spends some more time at DH. Prediction: two years, $20 million
43. Kolten Wong (32, 2B, Brewers): Wong had his best offensive season (118 OPS+, 15 HR, 17 SB) but also his worst defensive season in 2022. The Brewers can keep him for $10 million, but it sounds like they might prefer to use that money to upgrade elsewhere. Exercising the option and trading him could be a possibility. Prediction: two years, $18 million
44. Brandon Belt (34, 1B, Giants): Belt's 165 OPS+ between 2020 and '21 was the fourth-highest mark in baseball, but he slipped to 92 in a 2022 season ruined by knee problems. He's been on the IL five of the last six years, and he doesn't figure to start getting a lot healthier now that he's in his mid-30s. Still, for pure offensive upside, there are few better options here. Prediction: one year, $11 million
45. Mike Clevinger (32, SP, Padres): Clevinger returned from Tommy John without the velocity spike he experienced in 2019, but he was still throwing as hard as in his very successful 2017-18 seasons in Cleveland. While the results weren't there (4.33 ERA in 114 1/3 IP), he still rates as a potential bargain here. Prediction: one year, $11 million
46. Noah Syndergaard (30, SP, Phillies): It could be argued that Syndergaard was an underachiever back when he had maybe the best stuff in the league, so it's impressive that he kept it together last season (3.84 ERA in 134 2/3 IP) with a fastball that was down four mph after Tommy John. That said, the 17% strikeout rate is good reason for pessimism. Prediction: one year, $11 million
47. Trey Mancini (31, 1B, Astros): It seemed like the trade to Houston and a chance to take aim at the Crawford Boxes would boost Mancini's case entering free agency. However, he hit just .176/.258/.364 for his new team and then looked particularly helpless in going 1-for-21 in the postseason. He still seems like a reasonable choice as a first baseman or DH, but a two-year deal has become less likely. Prediction: one year, $10.5 million
48. Taylor Rogers (32, RP, Brewers): Rogers badly underperformed his peripherals for a third straight season in 2022; since 2020, he has a 2.86 FIP and a 4.19 ERA, the result of an ugly .351 BABIP. Lefties with 30% strikeout rates don't grow on trees, so he'll probably get a multiyear deal anyway. Prediction: two years, $16 million
49. Matt Carpenter (37, INF, Yankees): How much does someone want to bet on the guy who was basically Aaron Judge for 154 plate appearances last season (.305/.412/.727, 15 HR)? An eight-figure deal would be easier to swallow if he hadn't been the picture of futility the previous couple of seasons. Still, he was unstoppable there for a spell. Prediction: one year, $10 million
50. Joey Gallo (29, OF, Dodgers): Gallo's initial resurgence in Los Angeles didn't last, so he's almost certainly looking at a one-year deal. The end of the infield shift should help him rebound from a .160/.280/.357 campaign, and he remains a quality defender in an outfield corner. Prediction: one year, $10 million
51. Elvis Andrus (34, SS, White Sox): Andrus might not have gotten a starting job had he been a free agent last winter, but he wound up having a fine year for the A's and White Sox, finishing with a 103 OPS+. He was at 76 over the previous four seasons. Still a solid enough defender, he could have his pick of offers once the big four shortstops are off the board. Prediction: one year, $10 million
52. James Paxton (34, SP, Red Sox): Paxton was supposed to return from Tommy John surgery in the second half, but a strained lat prevented that from happening. The Red Sox have the option of keeping him for the next two years at $26 million, but that seems too pricey after three lost seasons. Alternatively, Paxton has a $4 million player option for 2023, but he should be able to do better than that. Prediction: one year, $10 million
53. Rafael Montero (32, RP, Astros): A nice rebound in Houston (2.37 ERA in 68 1/3 innings) should net Montero his pick of two-year deals this winter. Prediction: two years, $15 million
54. Seth Lugo (33, RP, Mets): Lugo has been pretty average the last two years, but he's lost nothing in the velocity department and there's probably a path to more success here if he focuses more on his curveball. He should be popular among contenders looking for a setup man. Prediction: two years, $15 million
55. Aroldis Chapman (35, RP, Yankees): Quitting on the Yankees probably won't cost Chapman as much this year as the big decline in his strikeout rate (27%) and career-worst 4.46 ERA, but it won't help. Prediction: one year, $9 million
56. Evan Longoria (37, 3B, Giants): That Longoria's $13 million club option is attached to a $5 million buyout makes it a tough call for the Giants; no one is paying him $13 million after he's missed 150 games the last two seasons. However, he's still looked like an average or above average regular when he's been on the field. Last season's .244/.315/.451 line resulted in a 114 OPS+. Prediction: one year, $9 million
57. Brandon Drury (30, INF, Padres): Drury had a negative bWAR in 1,708 major league plate appearances before breaking through with a .263/.320/.492 line and 28 homers last season. He's too weak defensively to be pursued as a starting second baseman, but teams looking for a cheaper option at first or third will probably come calling. Prediction: two years, $14 million
58. Andrew Chafin (32, RP, Tigers): Declining $6.5MM player option in search of multiyear deal, probably at a similar salary. 2.29 ERA last 2 yrs.
59. Kyle Gibson (35, SP, Phillies): Reasonable No. 4 SP in front of a quality defense. 3.71 ERA in '21 jumped to 5.05 in '22.
60. Omar Narvaez (31, C, Brewers): OPS dropped from .743 in '21 to .597 in '22, but should remain a starter thanks to improved defense.
61. Kevin Kiermaier (32, OF, Rays): $13MM option likely being declined. Major injury issues, but still solid platoon CF when healthy.
62. Matthew Boyd (32, SP/RP, Mariners): Stuff looked good as RP in late-season return from torn flexor. Probably will want to start.
63. Wade Miley (36, SP, Cubs): Limited to 37 IP by shoulder but finished healthy. 3.33 ERA in 200 IP last two seasons.
64. Jake Odorizzi (33, SP, Braves): Has a $12.5MM player option with $6.5MM buyout. Might not make Braves rotation if he stays.
65. Craig Kimbrel (34, RP, Dodgers): Stuff in decline and just one good year in the last four. Might wind up closing for a non-contender.
66. Michael Fulmer (30, RP, Twins): Peripherals aren't exciting, but 3.17 ERA last 2 yrs could result in a multiyear deal.
67. Adam Ottavino (37, RP, Mets): Stopped walking batters and posted 2.06 ERA in 66 IP. Had 4.59 ERA, 12% BB rate previous 2 yrs.
68. Zack Greinke (39, SP, Royals): K rate plummeted to 12.5%, but posted 3.68 ERA with better velocity than previous 2 yrs.
69. Mike Zunino (32, C, Rays): 2021 All-Star hit .148 in 36 G before succumbing to thoracic outlet syndrome.
70. Matt Moore (33, RP, Rangers): Stunned with 1.95 ERA in 1st full year as RP. Still walks too many, but a very intriguing option.
71. Johnny Cueto (37, SP, White Sox): Unwanted last winter, Cueto joined White Sox in mid-May, posted 3.35 ERA in 158 IP.
72. Adam Duvall (34, OF, Braves): 2021 NL RBI leader hit just .215/.276/.401 in 76 G prior to season-ending wrist surgery. 100 OPS+ last 3 yrs.
73. Jordan Lyles (32, SP, Orioles): 4.42 ERA in 179 IP. Orioles can keep for $11MM, but he should come cheaper.
74. Gary Sanchez (30, C, Twins): Adequate starting catcher, but it doesn't look like the bat is coming back. 90 OPS+ last 3 yrs.
75. David Robertson (37, RP, Phillies): Sterling postseason after 2.40 ERA in 64 IP. What contender wouldn't want him as a setup man?
76. Aledmys Diaz (32, INF, Astros): Ugly postseason won't help, but 96 OPS+ last 2 yrs & still plenty versatile.
77. José Leclerc (29, RP, Rangers): Nice 2.83 ERA in 48 IP in return from Tommy John. Rangers can keep for $6MM and probably should.
78. David Peralta (35, OF, Rays): Definitely a platoon guy going forward, but the bat should hold up for now. 109 OPS+ for ARI & TB.
79. Will Smith (33, RP, Astros): 3.27 ERA after trade to Houston, yet Astros were thoroughly unimpressed. Probably a setup man.
80. Michael Lorenzen (31, SP, Angels): Shoulder limited him to 18 starts in return to rotation. Might make more money as an RP.
81. Tommy Pham (35, OF, Red Sox): $6MM mutual option w/$1.5MM buyout. Still hits ball hard, but hasn't been average regular since '19.
82. Chad Green (31, RP, Yankees): Could return from Tommy John early in 2nd half. Top setup man has 3.18 ERA last 3 yrs.
83. Jose Iglesias (33, SS, Rockies): .662 OPS at Coors, .747 elsewhere made for odd season. Will likely get starting SS gig somewhere.
84. AJ Pollock (35, OF, White Sox): OPS+ of 134 in '21, 91 in '22. Will opt in at $13MM unless he really hates Chicago.
85. Zack Britton (35, RP, Yankees): Sinkerballer returned from Tommy John late, only to go down with shoulder problem after 2/3 IP.
86. Adam Frazier (31, 2B, Mariners): OPS+ of 114 in '21, 80 in '22. Probably still a starter at 2B, but not an exciting one.
87. Mychal Givens (32, RP, Mets): Despite declining velocity, quality setup man has 3.35 and 3.38 ERAs last 2 yrs.
88. Corey Kluber (36, SP, Rays): If the Rays could only coax an 84 ERA+ out of Kluber, what chance does the rest of the league have?
89. Yuli Gurriel (38, 1B, Astros): Nice postseason followed dreadful .242/288/.360 campaign. Likely to be league's oldest non-DH position player.
90. Rich Hill (43, SP, Red Sox): Taking over as MLB's oldest player in 2023. 57 starts with 102 ERA+ last 2 yrs.
91. Nelson Cruz (42, DH, Nationals): Finally a letdown at age 41. How much blame does the eye problem get for a dramatic decline?
92. Drew Smyly (33, RP, Cubs): Nice 3.47 ERA in 22 starts, though just 106 innings. Rates as his best season since 2014.
93. Wil Myers (32, 1B-OF, Padres): 108 OPS+ in 77 G, but power is in decline and probably will be a weak vs. RHP if used as a regular.
94. Miguel Castro (28, RP, Yankees): This year's youngest FA. Has never reached his ceiling, but reliable and 111 ERA+ last 3 yrs.
95. Josh Harrison (35, INF, White Sox): 102 OPS+ last 3 yrs and still rather versatile. White Sox will weigh $5.625MM option.
96. Trevor May (33, RP, Mets): Stress reaction in triceps area limited to 25 IP. Homer prone of late, but arm strength & K ability still there.
97. Carlos Santana (36, 1B, Mariners): Bounced back to 100 OPS+ after coming in at 81 in '21. Probably no upside beyond that.
98. Carlos Estevez (30, RP, Rockies): 3.47 ERA in 57 IP. High-90s fastball, and another team could help with his breaking stuff.
99. Chris Martin (36, RP, Dodgers): 74/5 K/BB in 56 IP. Not a workhorse and always gives up too many hits, but the K/BB makes up for it.
100. Pierce Johnson (31, RP, Padres): Missed most of 2022 with elbow problem. Setup man has 32% K, 11% BB since 2020.
101. Jace Peterson (32, INF/OF, Brewers): Journeyman turned into fine role player in MIL. 98 OPS+ in 328 PA.
102. Matt Strahm (31, RP, Red Sox): Live arm, but injured quite often. Wants to go back to starting, but he'll likely get more money as a reliever.
103. Corey Dickerson (33, OF, Cardinals): Nice second half should earn him another MLB deal. 97 OPS+ last three years isn't great, though.
104. Andrew McCutchen (36, OF, Brewers): .700 OPS in 580 PA. Still a role for him if he wants to keep going, but should be short side of platoon.
105. Trevor Williams (30, SP/RP, Mets): Gets more strikeouts than he used to. 3.21 ERA in 90 IP (9 starts, 21 relief).
106. Tommy Kahnle (33, RP, Dodgers): 14 IP in 3 yrs, but looked good late after slow recovery from Tommy John.
107. Roberto Pérez (34, C, Pirates): Top-notch defender was limited to 21 games by ruptured hamstring. 57 OPS+ since 2020.
108. Jonathan Schoop (31, 2B, Tigers): Disastrous offensive season (.202/.239/.322) should ensure that Schoop picks up $7.5MM player option.
109. Danny Duffy (34, SP, Dodgers): Dodgers can keep for $7MM but probably won't after Duffy lost all of 2022 to torn flexor tendon suffered in 2021.
110. Donovan Solano (35, INF, Reds): While not a starting 2B any longer, solid bat could help many teams as part-timer. 100 OPS+ last 2 yrs.
111. Brad Hand (33, RP, Phillies): Could go over the cliff at any moment, but 2.80 ERA in 45 IP, 3.21 ERA last 3 yrs.