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Best NBA Player Prop Bets For Sunday, Nov. 28: Jackson, Tatum

by Johnathan Wright
Updated On: November 28, 2021, 12:13 pm ET

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The NBA continues tonight with a five-game slate, with the first match tipping off at 3:30 PM ET. 

An interesting statistic that can often influence a player's production is their work rate and how much they run per game, especially for a guard. Typically, the more a back-court player runs in a game, the more open shots and rebounds they have. 

Here are the top-ten players that cover the most distance per game (miles) in the NBA (Min of 10 games played, 20+ MPG):

Miles

With that said, let's jump into my favorite NBA prop bets for Sunday's slate. All odds are reflective at the time of writing. 

Best Bet #1 - Reggie Jackson Over 17.5 (-114 FanDuel)

Reggie Jackson is not in the top ten for distance covered per game. Still, he is running 2.39 miles per outing (49th in the NBA). Therefore he is conditioned enough to be able to chase Stephen Curry around, who averages 2.53 miles per game (26th in the NBA) and still put up strong offensive numbers. 

Jackson is averaging 18.4 points this season and has been on fire as of late. In his last three games, the 31-year-old is averaging 25 points while shooting 50.5% from the field. 

Although the Golden State Warriors have the best defensive rating in the league, this is match favors Jackson and his scoring ability. According to cleaningtheglass.com, 39.9% of the shot attempts against the Warriors this season are from three, which is where Jackson scores most of his points. Jackson is attempting 17.2 field goals a game, and 51.7% are from behind the arc. Moreover, Golden State has given up an average of 20.6 points to point guards in their last ten matches. 

Reggie Jackson has reached this prop value in 12 of the Los Angeles Clippers' 19 games this season and in eight of the last ten. 

Rjack l10 points

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Best Bet #2 - Jayson Tatum Over 3.5 Assist (-130 Caesars)

Jayson Tatum is known for his scoring capabilities, but we are seeing him develop more as a passer this season. The 23-year-old is averaging 3.4 assist this season. However, in his last ten games, he is averaging 8.4 potential assists

Additionally, Tatum sees many double teams while on the court. Lately, as a result of those doubles, he is hitting the open man instead of forcing the issue and settling for a poor shot. When Boston's head coach Ime Udoka was asked about Tatum's decision-making, he stated, "[Tatum's] doing the right thing... He's being unselfish and doing what's asked of him" via masslive.com.

The Boston Celtics will be up against the Toronto Raptors. The Raptors are allowing 24.5 assists per game (22nd in the NBA). Moreover, Tatum has recorded four or more Assists in his two games against Toronto this season. 

Jayson Tatum has hit this prop value in seven of his 20 games this season.  

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Johnathan Wright

Johnathan Wright is a betting content creator for NBC Sports EDGE. He is currently pursuing a master's degree in Sport Analytics and also writes for ClutchPoints and FanSided. You can follow him on Twitter for more insight @JwrightOfficial.