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What's Wright

Best Player Prop Bets For Premier League Match Day Twenty Three

by Johnathan Wright
Updated On: January 21, 2022, 5:17 pm ET

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The Premier League resumes this week for matchday 23. While the title races seem all but over as Manchester City has an eleven-point lead and are -2000 favorites to win the League via PointsBets, the top-four battle is just beginning to take place. 

If we were to take a snapshot of the table right now, West Ham would control the final qualification spot for the UEFA Champions League with 37 points. However, Tottenham (36), Arsenal (35) and Manchester United (35) are all within a game's reach.

With that said, let's jump into my favorite Premier League prop bets of the weekend. All odds are reflective at the time of writing.

Best Bet #1 - Bukayo Saka Over 2 Shots (-110 Caesars)

Bukayo Saka is in excellent form, having accumulated six-goal contributions across Arsenal's last five Premier League matches. In that same stretch, he tallied 17 shots and has become the clear number one option in the Gunners attack. 

Saka has proved to be nearly unstoppable on the flank due to his impeccable ball skills. The 20-year-old is 10th in the EPL for shot-creating actions from successful dribbles (7) and 14th in carries into the 18-yard-box (23). However, Saka is not just earning shots from his on-ball ability but also his movement off the ball. The Hale End Academy graduate receives the most progressive passes on Arsenal with 115 (19th in the EPL).

Arsenal will be up against Burnley on Sunday, a matchup that will favor Saka's shot tally. The Clarets are at the bottom of the table and allow the most shots per 90 minutes with 17.24. Moreover, the last time the Gunners played Burnley on their home pitch, they recorded 18 shots, and Saka had from of them. 

Bukayo Saka has recorded three or more shots in just seven of his 18 starts this season (38.9%). However, he has done so in five of Arsenal's ten home games this season (50%). 

Shots at Home Saka

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Best Bet #2 - Diogo Jota Anytime Goalscorer (+130 Draftkings)

Diogo Jota having plus odds for an anytime goal is excellent value, given the fact that Mohamed Salah and Sadio Mané are still away competing in the African Cup of Nations (AFCON). Jota is second in the Premier League Golden Boot race with ten goals and is oozing with confidence after scoring a brace against Arsenal in the EFL Cup Semi-finals. 

Jota seems to always be in the right place at the right time. Over his last six fixtures, the Portugal international has recorded 21 shots in the box, ranking first among all players. Furthermore, he is averaging 3.13 goals per 100 open play sequences with Liverpool this season via theanalyst.com

Liverpool will be away against Crystal Palace on Sunday. The Eagles have conceded three goals to the Reds in their earlier matchup this season and allowed six goal-creating actions in their last home match. 

If you think Diogo Jota will score and want greater odds, you can take him as the first goalscorer at +350. 

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Johnathan Wright

Johnathan Wright is a betting content creator for NBC Sports EDGE. He is currently pursuing a master's degree in Sport Analytics and also writes for ClutchPoints and FanSided. You can follow him on Twitter for more insight @JwrightOfficial.