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Wolf's Wagers

WNBA Boost: Wolf's Wagers/Spread the Floor Parlay for Tonight

by Jake Wolf
Updated On: June 21, 2022, 6:30 pm ET

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With four games on the WNBA slate for Tuesday, June 21, we combined picks from three analysts. PointsBet Sportsbook boosted a parlay of the three picks from +350 to +425 to give bettors more favorable odds. Jake Wolf's picks for NBC Sports EDGE have gone 32-26 for a profit of 15.2 units so far this season.

Two of our picks today are brought to you by Spread the Floor presented by Her Hoop Stats. The Her Hoop Stats team launched Spread the Floor for the 2022 WNBA Season to provide their women's basketball picks and information including consolidated injury reports. This season, Calvin Wetzel is 81-77-1 to go up 4.90 units for an ROI of 3.04%. Dano Mataya is 69-53-3 for the season, up 12.81 units for an ROI of 6.18%.

Enjoy the deep dive into the WNBA by these three top analysts.

 

 

Jake Wolf (@jakewolf13): Phoenix Mercury ML (-225)

The Phoenix Mercury started slow this season but have gone 4-2 over the last six games. The league's top two scorers among guards in average points in the paint both play for the Mercury. In fact, Skylar Diggins-Smith and Diamond DeShields stand out as the only guards in the top 15 overall scorers in the paint in the entire WNBA this season. Diggins-Smith and DeShields join Tina Charles and Diana Taurasi as the four Mercury players averaging at least 15 points per game this season.

On the other side, leading scorer Sylvia Fowles is the only Lynx player averaging upwards of 15 points per game. Fowles, the WNBA's leading rebounder, is out due to injury and will once again miss tonight's game. Minnesota lost the last four games without the future Hall-of-Famer and I expect another loss for the Lynx tonight.

Minnesota has posted the second-worst defensive rating in the league this season and scored the fewest points off opponent turnovers while conceding the second-highest points/game off turnovers on the other end. The Lynx also allow the second-highest Points Per Possession on opponent transition opportunities so Diggins-Smith and the Mercury will have plenty of chances to push the pace.

 

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Calvin Wetzel (@cwetzel31): Wings / Dream Over 163.5 (-110)

After spending the first month-plus of the season cashing unders with the best defense and worst offense in the league, Atlanta has completely turned the tables on us and cashed three straight overs without a sweat. Even without counting the overtime period in their last game, the three Dream games since Erica Wheeler’s injury have all cleared 175.

Given the way Dallas can score the ball, expect that run to continue here. The Wings have cleared this number in six of their last nine.

 

Dano Mataya (@drmataya): Mystics / Sparks Under 168.5 (-110)

The Washington Mystics are in Los Angeles tonight and bring the WNBA’s best scoring defense with them. Holding their opponents to just 74.6 PPG and limiting opponents to a league-best 41.9 2-point field goal attempts per game, it is easy to see how only four of the Mystics' 18 games this season have gone over the betting total.

That record is amplified on the road with seven of their eight road games finishing under the betting total. The fact that former MVP Elena Delle Donne has not played many road games due to load management has been a key factor in those road results. According to Coach Mike Thibault, she will not be taking the court tonight.

 

-- Bonus Bet --

A bonus bet the Spread The Floor team has been tracking and riding all season are Mystics 2Q Unders. The 2Q under bet has now hit in 17 of 18 games this season.

 

Parlay Summary: Boosted from +350 to +425

Jake Wolf (@jakewolf13):        Phoenix Mercury ML (-225)
 

Calvin Wetzel (@cwetzel31):   Wings / Dream Over 163.5 (-110)
 

Dano Mataya (@drmataya):     Mystics / Sparks Under 168.5 (-110)

 

Enjoy the games and enjoy the sweat.

 

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Jake Wolf

Jake Wolf is covering basketball for NBC Sports Edge and has worked for FNTSY Sports Network and YES Network. Follow him on Twitter @jakewolf13 for betting content and basketball analysis.