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WWE Predictions


by Mike Murphy
Updated On: October 30, 2022, 1:41 pm ET

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In recent years, Extreme Rules hasn't exactly been, well, extreme. In fact, of the seven matches on last year's card, only one of them (the WWE Universal Championship match between Roman Reigns and “The Demon” Finn Bálor) actually had any special stipulation. What a difference a year makes.

In this year's event, all six announced matches have a distinct theme. Liv Morgan vs. Ronda Rousey is the only one under Extreme Rules, but we also have a Fight Pit match, a Ladder Match, and a Strap Match, among other things. This event feels like a must-see event once again, which is something Triple H is proving to be pretty good at in his short time at the helm.

Also making Saturday's Premium Live Event a must-see is that the speculation over “White Rabbit” appears to be coming to a head. Among the latest Easter eggs on Raw this week, there are some coordinates which take you to Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, which is where Extreme Rules will take place. Is the wait finally over? Is there any chance that Bray Wyatt isn't the one behind it all? Truth be told, fans would revolt if it wasn't. The question here is who will be the target.

With the stacked card and the excitement over “White Rabbit,” it's surprisingly easy to forget that Roman Reigns and the Bloodline will not have a presence at the event.


WWE Extreme Rules Event Details: How to Watch, Start Time, Date, Location

DateSaturday, October 8, 2022
Start Time7PM ET/4PM PT (Kickoff starts at 6PM ET/3PM PT)
How to WatchPeacock (United States), WWE Network (Outside US)
LocationWells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

Match Card

MatchChampionshipMatch Type
Liv Morgan (c) vs. Ronda RouseySmackDown Women's ChampionshipExtreme Rules Match
Bianca Belair (c) vs. Bayley w/ Damage CTRLRaw Women's ChampionshipLadder Match
Matt Riddle vs. Seth "Freakin'" Rollins w/ Special Guest Referee Daniel CormierNoneFight Pit Match
Drew McIntyre vs. Karrion Kross w/ ScarlettNoneStrap Match
Edge vs. Finn Bálor w/ The Judgment DayNone"I Quit" Match
The Brawling Brutes vs. Imperium NoneSix-Man Tag Team Good Old Fashioned Donnybrook Match


Note: (c) indicates the champion heading into the match.


Liv Morgan (c) vs. Ronda Rousey – SmackDown Women's Championship Extreme Rules Match

Yes, Liv Morgan has defeated Ronda Rousey twice already. But unfortunately for Morgan, both wins have been fluky at best, and she has failed to establish any credibility as a formidable champion. The first victory was a Money in the Bank cash-in, and the second came at SummerSlam when the ref missed Morgan tapping out before Rousey's shoulders were pinned to the mat. While Morgan has tried desperately in the last couple of weeks to prove that she can indeed be “extreme” by swinging a kendo stick and hitting a senton through a table on Lacey Evans (ok, that one was actually impressive), there's just no way she can beat Rousey for a third straight time … UNLESS … there's some kind of a run-in.

We know Triple H is all about delivering surprises, so could this be a situation where we see another return? We even predicted that we might see Charlotte Flair make her return in their previous matchup, so is now the time? In a recent interview, Charlotte alluded to wanting to compete against Bianca Belair, but was that a red herring? We've also seen Ronda interact with longtime friend Shayna Baszler in recent weeks, saying that when she's ready to get serious, they could run roughshod over the entire division. Perhaps Shayna takes offense to this, and shows Rousey how dangerous she can really be by attacking her instead.

But in the end, that seems like overanalyzing, and we're going to go with Rousey picking up the win here and reclaiming the SmackDown Women's Championship. Three straight losses to Liv Morgan just seems unfathomable. -Ed Williams

Prediction: Ronda Rousey

Bianca Belair (c) vs. Bayley – Raw Women's Championship Ladder Match

In a card littered with various stipulation matches, this is actually a historic one, as it will be the first-ever one-on-one Women's Ladder Match on the main roster. Bayley has helped set new standards for the Women's Division and Belair has made history throughout her main roster run, so it's rather fitting that they get this opportunity to break new ground at Extreme Rules. 

The build to this match has been a lengthy one, as Bayley made her return along with the introduction of Dakota Kai and IYO SKY after Belair's successful title defense against Becky Lynch at SummerSlam. While they have met before during a title program on SmackDown — including a Hell in a Cell Match in 2021 — Bayley's new faction, Damage CTRL, has made the rivalry feel fresh. It wasn't until Clash at the Castle last month that they finally got in the ring against each other (in a Six-Woman Tag Team Match also involving Asuka & Alexa Bliss) and Bayley was able to pin Belair. The win required some nifty coordination with SKY & Kai, but it has added some vulnerability to Belair's character. That vulnerability was also highlighted on Raw this week, as Damage CTRL took out the champion as well as her friends Asuka & Bliss. Bayley then posed at the top of the ladder holding the Raw Women's Championship to close out the show.

It's hard to imagine SKY & Kai not being involved in the ladder match in some way on Saturday, so the goal on Monday was seemingly to eliminate Asuka & Bliss from coming to the rescue. Time will tell if they'll be successful on that end. Either way, this type of match (and the possibility of a three-on-one scenario) should give Belair the chance to show off her incredible strength with some fun spots from the ladder. K.O.D. off a ladder onto a ladder, anyone?  

We're rapidly approaching a Survivor Series, where there's expected to be the first-ever Women's War Games Match. It would be a surprise if Damage CTRL isn't a part of it, but maybe Extreme Rules would be a good time to unveil a new fourth member who helps Bayley win championship gold? This would also give Belair the extra motivation to avenge her loss and put together a team of her own. The concept of a ladder match is a good one, as Belair doesn't have to be pinned to lose her title. That factor alone gives this rivalry some longevity if Bayley comes out on top on Saturday. We're guessing that's exactly how this will go. -D.J. Short

Prediction: Bayley


Matt Riddle vs. Seth Rollins – Fight Pit Match w/ Special Guest Referee Daniel Cormier

Don't get me wrong. Both Matt Riddle and Seth "Freakin'" Rollins are two of the best all-around Superstars in WWE, but it's definitely time for this rivalry to come to an end. And with the matchup taking place in the Fight Pit, one would think this would indeed be the logical conclusion.

While Riddle has shown great fire in the brawls during this feud and has shown a more serious side during the promos, he's still in desperate need of a win here if he's going to be taken seriously in the upper-mid card or as a top tier singles contender. And everything seems to be lining up in his favor. Riddle's MMA background is an obvious advantage in the Fight Pit, a match in which you can only win by TKO or submission. And while Rollins recently showed off a new submission maneuver called the Peruvian Necktie, logic will dictate that Riddle will be much more comfortable in this environment.

And then there's the special guest referee, future UFC Hall-of-Famer Daniel Cormier. While Cormier has been rumored to want to test the WWE waters several times in the past, this will be his first official role in a match. This rivalry deserves a clean and decisive ending, so hopefully there won't be any shenanigans from Cormier and he calls it down the middle.

Meanwhile, Rollins is pretty much bulletproof at this point. He lost three straight matches to Cody Rhodes before this feud, and it didn't hurt him in the least – if anything it actually brought him up a notch. He also has a United States Championship Match lined up for Monday against Bobby Lashley, so even with a loss, he'll be walking into a high-profile match just days later. With Triple H at the helm of creative, we're going to have faith that logic will prevail, and Riddle comes away with a much-needed victory. -Ed Williams

Prediction: Matt Riddle


Drew McIntyre vs. Karrion Kross w/ Scarlett – Strap Match

This might be the toughest match to call on the card. Karrion Kross needs this win, doesn't he? If he loses, that could ruin his entertaining return run and kill it before it truly got started. But then again, what does this do to Drew McIntyre if he loses to a new Superstar in their first Premium Live Event match following a tough loss to Roman Reigns at Clash at the Castle?

It's a very difficult wire to walk. Both guys really need to look strong, but one has to lose. To try and get into creative's head to crystal ball this tough cookie, let's look back at the booking so far.

Kross has been made to look dominant and imposing over Drew for the last month. Every interaction they have, Karrion Kross almost always gets the one-up on him. Jumping him from behind, choking him out, getting involved in his matches on SmackDown. When you look at it that way, Kross has already made his point and proven himself as a legitimate threat to the stars. It's why I honestly believe he'll be the one looking up at the lights when the referee rings the bell at the end of this one.

But this isn't going to be some PG-era John Cena-style squash match of an up-and-coming talent. While Drew will win, it's going to be by the skin of his teeth. Barely surviving a war that will have him heading to the back clearly battered and exhausted if he makes it to the back standing at all (keep reading). And I don't even think Kross gets pinned or taps. The strap is there for a reason, and like Chekov's gun, it has to be used.

I expect McIntyre, after doing anything and everything he can (including a Claymore or two) to put Kross down, will eventually resort to the strap in desperation to choke Kross unconscious in a poetic reversal on what we've seen on SmackDown. I can even see Kross waking up shortly after the loss and lashing out at Drew, still standing tall despite the defeat. Remember, his whole point of going after Drew isn't to win a single match, but to prove to him that his time at the top of WWE is running out by beating him senseless over and over again. -Mike Murphy

Prediction: Drew McIntyre


Edge vs. Finn Bálor w/ The Judgment Day – “I Quit” Match

Look at us. When The Judgment Day first formed months ago under old WWE Creative with Edge, Damian Priest and Rhea Ripley, then soon shifted to Finn Bálor at its head when Edge reportedly didn't like the supernatural angle that creative team wanted to take the group in; who would've thought that aimless, almost dead-on-arrival storyline would lead us here? *Paul Rudd voice* Not me.

But with the creative changeover, slow burn of Edge's eventual return for vengeance and the heel turn of Dominik Mysterio on his father to join the group, this has surprisingly become one of WWE's hottest angles. And we have to assume that it all ends here. “I Quit” matches are historically brutal rivalry enders and this one looks to be no different. The only question is who is it that emerges victorious. This is where the wild card of the rivalry, A.J. Styles, comes in.

Being aimless and without a true storyline or direction for months, he's finally had something to chew on. After thinking over what Bálor's been beating into him, he'll decide his friend is right and join him to change his middling fortunes of late. He might feign being Edge and Rey Mysterio's savior (Rey's definitely getting involved here), but then be the one to tip the scales and give Bálor the A-Tier victory he's needed ever since he hurt his shoulder following his Universal Championship win years ago. Let's not forget too, that it was Edge who formed The Judgment Day specifically to ruin A.J. Styles. And as an extra twist, I also believe that based on Edge's promo on Raw this week, Styles or someone else from Judgment Day will drag Beth Phoenix to the ring and put her life at risk in order to make Edge utter the two words he swears he won't (Edge brought up Styles' family in a promos way back when Judgment Day first formed and Beth Phoenix has played a role in this rivalry already).

However, with Edge defeated, The Judgment Day will need a new opponent. The latest clues point that Extreme Rules is where the “White Rabbit” reveal will happen, with the overwhelming belief being that the evidence is pointing towards it being Bray Wyatt. And this right here is how we get that reveal, since he and Finn Balor have had their tussles in the past. You might think, “Well, that means Bray's coming back as a face.” It does. And that's because Triple H is wise and knows that whoever Bray attacks on this night, he is going to get a huge face pop. So why not lean in and have him go after legitimate heels who he's had a history with and are kinda leaning into his schtick? A heel turn can always come later. -Mike Murphy

Prediction: Finn Bálor


Imperium vs. The Brawling Brutes – Six-man Good Old Fashioned Donnybrook Match

The only thing not to like about this match is it's name. As overused as the “Fight Forever” chant is, I honestly wouldn't mind a match on every Premium Live Event pitting members of these groups against each other. But the name? Well, that can be shot into the sun and never used again. It seemed odd back in July when Sheamus and Drew McIntyre squared off in one of these matches (which is just another name for a Street Fight), but Vince McMahon was still at the helm back then, so weird terminology was par for the course. For some inexplicable reason, the new regime is bringing it back.

At least I have no doubts that Imperium and The Brawling Brutes will waste no time in making us forget about the lame name once the bell rings. If you'll recall, Sheamus and Gunther squared off in a Match of the Year candidate at Clash at the Castle, and these two groups have remained at each other's throats ever since. In fact, Sheamus gets his rematch Friday night on SmackDown, which makes this one very hard to predict.

As for Friday, Sheamus needs the Intercontinental Championship to complete the Ultimate Grand Slam. On the other hand, it seems too early for Gunther to suffer a loss. Gunther can and should be a monster and built up to be a legit threat to Roman Reigns and the Undisputed WWE Universal Championship. While he could no doubt recover from a loss to Sheamus here, it would slow down the process a bit.

It's also been nice to see Butch go back to the same ring attire he was wearing in NXT as Pete Dunne. He's lost some of the cartoonish pitbull-like mannerisms, while maintaining his aggressive style and it's been much more effective. It's hard to take a Superstar seriously when they look like an extra from the 1992 film Newsies.

I'm going to predict that Gunther retains the title on SmackDown against Sheamus, but then the Brutes get their payback at Extreme Rules in their six-man clash where you can have either Ludwig Kaiser or Giovanni Vinci take the loss and protect the Ring General. -Ed Williams

Prediction: The Brawling Brutes

Mike Murphy

Mike Murphy is the Manager of the Gaming News Desk for NBC Sports EDGE and is a former WWE.com writer and editor as well as a former host of WWE's UpUpDownDown YouTube Channel.