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Yahoo! Strategy

Yahoo Golf Talk: 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities

by Josh Culp
Updated On: July 21, 2021, 3:19 pm ET

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After traveling from Illinois to England, the PGA TOUR turns right back around this week to plop back into the Midwest. 

The event on hand is the 3M Open, played at TPC Twin Cities. The tournament has been running for two years now so we have an idea of how the course plays. 

The winning scores have been 21-under (Matthew Wolff) and 19-under (Michael Thompson). You have to take it low to contend here in the Twin Cities. 

The course is a par 71 that plays at 7,431 yards so it's pretty lengthy. That is one angle we can look into today. 

What other angles can we target this week? We could look at performance in the Midwest, performance on bentgrass greens, performance in weaker fields. How about performance in easy scoring environments? With the winning scores around 20-under both times, we can find the top performers from events with similar winning scores. 

 

Lengthy Layouts

As I mentioned above, TPC Twin Cities is quite long as he comes in over 7,400 yards while playing as a par 71. 

When you consider the water lurking everywhere, you can't always pound driver when you want to, either. That only adds to the length as you'll need to be handy with your long irons this week. 

Hopping over to the NBC Sports Edge Driver tool, let's look at the top performers in terms of strokes gained tee-to-green on courses over 7,300 yards (since the start of the 2019 season): 

Tony Finau
Jhonattan Vegas
Sergio Garcia
Keegan Bradley
Ryan Moore
Hank Lebioda
Mito Pereira (small sample)
Dustin Johnson
Luke List
Byeong Hun An
Kyle Stanley
Chris Kirk
Joseph Bramlett
Patrick Reed
Russell Knox
 

Hank Lebioda ($31): His price is rising but he deserves the bump with three straight top 10s. As you can see from the list above, he's not going to be intimidated by the distance at TPC Twin Cities. That has played out in his two past appearances here, posting top 35s in both trips. 

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Going Low for 72 Holes

Some golfers do well in a grind-it-out environment while others can put their foot on the gas and keep it down all week. 

At TPC Twin Cities you need that ability to go low and not be satisfied with just one or two low rounds. 

Heading back to the Driver tool, we can filter by events with a winning score of at least 17-under and see who pops. I picked 17 as the number because the winning score has been 19-under or lower here both times but I wanted to give a few strokes of wiggle room. Here are the top performers in those easy-scoring events, since the start of the 2019 season: 

Dustin Johnson
Mito Pereira (small sample)
Patrick Reed
Cameron Tringale
Emiliano Grillo
Tony Finau
Matt Kuchar
Louis Oosthuizen
Denny McCarthy
Rickie Fowler
Gary Woodland
Charles Howell III
J.T. Poston
Jhonattan Vegas
Adam Hadwin

Emiliano Grillo ($37): When it comes to go-low events, Grillo is right up there with Reed and Finau in terms of overall performance. The Argentine took a quick liking to TPC Twin Cities last year, as well, posting a T3 finish in his tournament debut. 

Hopefully, these stats will give you some names to dive into when it comes to researching your final selections this week over at Yahoo! 

Josh Culp

Josh Culp joined NBC Sports Edge in 2014. The DFS enthusiast from Iowa State can be found on Twitter @futureoffantasy.