Ondrej Palat
Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports
Bernier's Best

NHL Bets for June 26

Updated On: June 26, 2022, 10:53 am ET

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The Tampa Bay Lightning battled to a 3-2 victory in Game 5 over the Colorado Avalanche in Denver on Friday night, setting the stage for a pivotal Game 6 in Tampa this evening between the two teams.

Will Andrei Vasilevskiy and company again fend off elimination, or will Cale Makar and the Avalanche hoist Lord Stanley’s Cup tonight?

Below you will find a wager to consider from Game 6 of the Stanley Cup Final that is available at PointsBet.

For those unfamiliar with the term “overlay,” it simply refers to odds that are higher than an outcome’s true probability. 

For example, if an outcome has a 50% chance of happening, the correlating odds would be +100. 

If the odds offered on that specific event are +150, or an implied probability of 40%, then the price would represent an overlay.

 

 

COLORADO AVALANCHE at TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING 

Tampa winning Game 5 on Friday night was, stating the obvious, the worst thing that could have happened for Colorado.

Not only did it extend the series for another day, but it sent the two teams back to Amalie Arena for Game 6 tonight in Tampa – and if Tampa can hold serve on home-ice, anything can happen in Game 7.

All in all, Game 5 felt like the best effort from the Lightning this series (sans Game 3), limiting the number of chances Colorado could generate from the slot while also displaying an energy that was lacking in their Game 4 overtime loss.

Helping Tampa’s cause was Colorado netminder Darcy Kuemper, who, following a stellar Game 4 performance, reverted to his mean in Game 5.

Although he stopped twenty-six of the twenty-nine shots he faced, two of the three goals he yielded were on the softer side, including the game winner from Ondrej Palat.

 

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Players like Nikita Kucherov, Steven Stamkos, Andrei Vasilevskiy, Brayden Point, and Victor Hedman garner most of the attention when discussing the Lightning’s success – and rightfully so.

This postseason, however, one of their most critical players has been Ondrej Palat, whose goal late in the third period of Game 5 propelled Tampa to a 3-2 victory.

Palat has twenty points this postseason (eleven goals, nine assists), a total that ranks second on the team behind only Kucherov, who has twenty-seven.

He’s by no means a likely winner of the Conn Smythe, but if Palat has two more big games and the Lightning do in fact comeback from a 3-1 deficit to lift their third consecutive Stanley Cup, his name should be in the mix for the award – and at 33-1 odds at PointsBet, he may be worth a flier.

Make no mistake about it: the Lightning are still swimming upstream in this Stanley Cup Final.

Colorado has undoubtedly been the better team throughout the series, but the fact remains – in order to be the champ, you’ve got to beat the champ.

Until Tampa is put to bed, they still represent a dangerous threat.

With the success the home teams have had throughout the 2022 postseason (54-34, +7.06 units according to EDGE Finder) – and, more specifically, the Lightning (8-2, +3.61 units) – I’m siding with Tampa in Game 6 on the moneyline.

 

 

THE PLAYS

Colorado Avalanche at Tampa Bay Lightning – Lightning ML (-105)

 

 

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